CountyEthics

Ravens Crag

Sandstone · Partial exposure · 122m altitude

Likely safe

Condition Analysis

AI-powered assessment using site data and 14-day weather history

22h ago
Today
Likely Safe to Climb
82%
confidence

Five consecutive dry days with warm temperatures (up to 29°C) and moderate westerly winds have provided good drying conditions since the last significant rain on August 9th (6.5mm). Despite Ravens Crag's slower drying characteristics, these conditions should be sufficient for the rock to have dried through.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside and is partially sheltered by the ridge above Bowden Doors, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than neighbouring crags and should be assessed more conservatively.
  • The predominantly slab-based, low-angle problems with rounded holds are especially sensitive to residual moisture — even slight dampness dramatically reduces friction on these features.
  • The west-facing aspect receives afternoon and evening sun, which combined with the prevailing westerly winds over recent days has aided drying, though morning conditions may feel damper.
  • The crag is part of the Colour Heugh SSSI, so any damage from climbing on insufficiently dry rock has conservation as well as climbing implications.
Warnings 1
  • Rain forecast from August 17th onwards (3–5mm per day for three days) will reset drying — plan sessions for the 15th or 16th if possible.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The last significant rainfall was 6.5mm on August 9th, followed by five full dry days with temperatures reaching 29°C and moderate winds — this comfortably exceeds the 48-hour minimum guideline for moderate rain on porous sandstone.

Drying Analysis

Persistent westerly and southerly winds (17–25 km/h) hitting the W-facing aspect directly, combined with warm temperatures averaging over 20°C in recent days, have provided strong evaporative drying despite the sheltered lower position on the hillside.

Structural Risk

With five days of drying after only 6.5mm of rain, internal moisture levels should be well below the threshold for significant strength reduction, and freeze-thaw is not a concern in August.

Seasonal Factors

Mid-summer conditions with long daylight hours, warm temperatures, and reasonable humidity levels are favourable for sandstone drying and climbing.

Contributing Factors 6
Five dry days elapsed
90%

Five consecutive dry days since the 6.5mm rain on August 9th comfortably exceeds the two-day minimum guideline for this rainfall amount.

Warm temperatures aiding drying
90%

Temperatures reached 21–29°C over the past three days, significantly accelerating evaporation from the rock.

Favourable wind on aspect
85%

Westerly and southerly winds of 17–25 km/h blowing directly onto the west-facing crag have enhanced surface and subsurface drying.

Sheltered lower position
75%

The crag's position below the ridge receives less direct airflow and sun exposure than Bowden Doors above, slowing drying somewhat.

Moderate humidity levels
80%

Average humidity around 70–74% is moderate for Northumberland — not ideal but not impeding drying significantly in combination with wind and warmth.

Cumulative recent rainfall
70%

44.6mm over the past 28 days indicates a moderately wet period overall, though the most recent dry spell has been sustained enough to counter this.

Recommendations 3
  • Conditions look good today and tomorrow — take advantage of the dry window before rain returns on August 17th.
  • Check the base of the crag on arrival: if the ground is still damp rather than sandy-dry, treat the rock as suspect and consider walking up to Bowden Doors instead.
  • Avoid lower, more sheltered sections if they feel cool or clammy to the touch — start with problems in the most exposed, wind-facing areas first.

Previous Analyses

Marginal — Assess Conditions 72%
2 days ago
Today
Marginal — Assess Conditions
72%
confidence

Four consecutive dry days with warm temperatures (up to 28°C today) and moderate winds have followed the last significant rain of 6.5mm on August 9th, which should be sufficient drying time for a summer period — but Ravens Crag's sheltered position below the ridge and its slow-drying reputation introduce enough uncertainty that a visual check on arrival is strongly advised. Earlier scattered light showers (0.2mm on Aug 5th, 2.3mm on Aug 6th) and the heavier 6.5mm on Aug 9th mean the rock has had a somewhat interrupted drying pattern over recent weeks.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside than Bowden Doors and is partially sheltered by the ridge above, meaning it receives less direct wind and dries noticeably more slowly than its neighbour — always check here independently even if Bowden Doors appears dry.
  • The predominantly slab-based, low-angle problems with rounded holds are especially vulnerable to moisture-related friction loss; even slight residual dampness on these features makes them dangerously slippery and accelerates erosion.
  • The west-facing aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun, so morning visits may find lingering dampness in sheltered nooks that clears later in the day.
  • The base of the crag and lower sections will be the last to dry — check the ground and rock at foot level as a reliable moisture indicator before committing to climb.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb on any holds that feel cool, greasy, or show colour differences suggesting dampness — Fell Sandstone loses significant strength at even 1% saturation.
  • The slab-based, rounded-hold problems at Ravens Crag are particularly unforgiving if conditions are marginal; friction loss on damp rounded holds can cause sudden falls.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The last meaningful rain was 6.5mm on August 9th (4 days ago), preceded by a scattered pattern of light showers through late July and early August and a heavy 25.9mm event on July 26th; four dry days in summer warmth should have dried the surface, but internal moisture may linger in this sheltered location.

Drying Analysis

Moderate SW/W winds (15–25 km/h) and warm temperatures (17–28°C) over the last four days provide reasonable drying conditions, though the west aspect limits sun exposure to afternoons only and the sheltered position below the ridge reduces wind effectiveness compared to Bowden Doors above.

Structural Risk

With 4 days of dry weather after 6.5mm of rain in summer conditions, structural risk from internal moisture is low but not negligible given the crag's slow-drying character and the cumulative 44.6mm over the past 28 days.

Seasonal Factors

Mid-August provides the best natural drying conditions of the year with long days, warm temperatures, and no freeze-thaw concern; today's 28°C peak is particularly favourable for driving off residual moisture.

Contributing Factors 7
Four dry days elapsed
85%

Four consecutive dry days since the 6.5mm rainfall on August 9th meets the minimum '2-day rule' for porous rock, though this crag's slow-drying nature demands extra caution.

Warm summer temperatures
90%

Temperatures reaching 21–28°C over the last three days significantly accelerate evaporation from porous sandstone.

Sheltered slow-drying position
80%

Ravens Crag sits below the ridge that hosts Bowden Doors, reducing wind exposure and direct sun, and is known locally to dry noticeably more slowly.

West aspect afternoon sun
80%

The west-facing aspect receives only afternoon and evening sun, providing moderate but not optimal solar drying compared to a south-facing crag.

Moderate wind assistance
70%

Winds of 15–25 km/h from westerly and southerly directions over recent days help move moist air from the rock surface, aiding drying despite partial shelter.

Cumulative recent rainfall
70%

A total of 44.6mm over the past 28 days, including a heavy 25.9mm event on July 26th, means the rock has been repeatedly wetted and may retain deeper internal moisture.

Humidity moderate not low
75%

Average humidity of 73% over the last week is moderate for Northumberland in summer — not ideal for rapid drying but not preventing it either.

Recommendations 3
  • Visually inspect the rock and check the ground at the base of the crag — if the soil is still damp or dark, the rock likely retains internal moisture and should not be climbed.
  • Favour problems in the afternoon when the west-facing rock has had maximum sun exposure; avoid early morning sessions when overnight humidity may have re-dampened surfaces.
  • If Ravens Crag shows any signs of dampness, walk uphill to Bowden Doors which dries faster and may be in better condition.
Marginal — Assess Conditions 60%
3 days ago
Today
Marginal — Assess Conditions
60%
confidence

The last significant rain was 6.5mm on August 9th (three days ago), followed by two dry days and today's negligible 0.1mm trace; however, Ravens Crag's sheltered position and slower drying mean internal moisture may linger despite reasonable summer temperatures. Conditions are likely approaching dry but a careful on-site assessment is essential, particularly on lower and shaded sections.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside below Bowden Doors and is partially sheltered by the ridge above, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than the better-known crag higher up.
  • The predominantly slab and low-angle nature of the problems means water sits on the rock surface longer than it would on steeper terrain, extending drying times.
  • The west-facing aspect receives afternoon and evening sun only, which is helpful but means the crag misses the morning drying window entirely.
  • The crag has seen a pattern of intermittent rain through late July and early August (44.7mm in 28 days), meaning background moisture levels in the porous sandstone are elevated compared to a prolonged dry spell.
Warnings 2
  • Do not assume the rock is dry internally just because the surface appears dry — Fell Sandstone loses significant strength while still appearing surface-dry.
  • The slab and rounded-hold character of Ravens Crag means hold breakage from damp rock is a real possibility; any doubt should lead to walking away.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The 6.5mm rain on August 9th was moderate, and while three days of mostly dry weather with decent temperatures (17–26°C) have followed, the sheltered lower position and elevated background moisture from a wet recent period mean internal dampness could persist.

Drying Analysis

Three days of drying in summer temperatures with moderate SW/W/S winds (~15–25 km/h) and humidity around 65–79% would normally be adequate for light-to-moderate rain, but Ravens Crag's sheltered aspect and slower drying character add uncertainty.

Structural Risk

Fell Sandstone's rounded holds on slab problems are particularly vulnerable to grain loosening if any residual moisture remains, and the slab-heavy nature of the venue means body weight is transferred directly through foot holds under compression.

Seasonal Factors

Mid-summer conditions are broadly favourable for drying, with warm temperatures and long daylight hours, though the intermittent rain pattern through July–August has kept cumulative moisture higher than ideal.

Contributing Factors 7
Three days since significant rain
75%

The 6.5mm on August 9th has been followed by three largely dry days (only trace amounts), meeting the minimum two-day rule of thumb for porous rock.

Sheltered lower position slows drying
80%

Ravens Crag is explicitly noted as drying more slowly than Bowden Doors due to its lower, ridge-sheltered position, adding perhaps a day to standard drying estimates.

Warm summer temperatures
85%

Temperatures of 17–26°C over the drying period with today reaching 26°C provide good evaporative potential for summer sandstone drying.

Moderate wind assisting drying
70%

Winds of 15–25 km/h from SW/W/S over the past three days help move moist air away from the west-facing rock surface.

Elevated background moisture
70%

Nearly 45mm of rain over the past 28 days with multiple wet episodes means the sandstone's pore network likely carries more residual moisture than after a prolonged dry spell.

Slab-dominant problems increase risk
75%

Low-angle slab climbing loads rounded holds under compression, making any residual internal moisture a greater risk for hold breakage and grain loss.

Today's trace rain negligible
90%

The 0.1mm forecast at 18:00 is essentially a trace and will not meaningfully re-wet the rock surface.

Recommendations 3
  • Visit in the afternoon when the west-facing crag has received maximum sun exposure, and carefully test the rock surface and base-of-crag ground moisture before committing to climb.
  • Prioritise upper and more exposed sections of the crag first, as lower and more sheltered areas will retain moisture longest.
  • If the ground at the crag base is still damp or dark-coloured, do not climb — walk uphill to Bowden Doors instead, which dries significantly faster.
Do Not Climb 55%
5 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
55%
confidence

Ravens Crag received 6.5mm of rain yesterday (Aug 9) and has had only one full dry day since, which is insufficient drying time for this sheltered, slow-drying venue. With high average humidity (79%) and the crag's known tendency to hold moisture longer than nearby Bowden Doors, the rock is very likely still damp internally despite any surface drying.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside and is partially sheltered by the ridge above Bowden Doors, meaning it receives less direct wind and sun, significantly slowing drying compared to the main crag.
  • The predominantly slab and low-angle nature of the problems means water sits on and soaks into the rock face rather than running off — slabs retain moisture longer than steep or overhanging rock.
  • The rounded holds characteristic of this venue are particularly vulnerable to grain loosening when wet, and any breakage on these features would be irreversible.
  • The westerly aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun, and with today's heavy cloud cover (75–100% from mid-morning), effective solar drying will be minimal.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb on Fell Sandstone that may be damp internally — the slab-based, rounded holds at Ravens Crag are especially vulnerable to irreversible grain loosening and breakage.
  • The rock surface may appear dry while the interior remains saturated; surface appearance alone is not a reliable indicator of safety at this venue.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 6.5mm of rain on Aug 9 and a preceding pattern of intermittent rain events (2.3mm on Aug 6, 5.5mm on Aug 4), the cumulative moisture loading over the past week means the rock is very likely still saturated internally despite one dry day.

Drying Analysis

Only one dry day has elapsed since the last significant rain, with humidity averaging 79% and today's cloud cover limiting solar input — for a sheltered, west-facing crag that dries noticeably slower than Bowden Doors, this is well short of the 48–72 hour minimum needed after 6.5mm of rain.

Structural Risk

The slab-based problems with rounded holds are at elevated risk of grain loosening and hold breakage given the likely internal moisture, and any damage to these features would be permanent.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures (~16°C) are adequate for drying but the high humidity and cloud cover are limiting evaporation rates; no freeze-thaw risk at this time of year.

Contributing Factors 6
Recent significant rainfall
95%

6.5mm fell on Aug 9 with additional rain events on Aug 4 (5.5mm), Aug 6 (2.3mm), and smaller amounts on Aug 3 and Aug 5, creating cumulative moisture loading.

Insufficient drying time
90%

Only one full dry day since the last 6.5mm rain event, well short of the 48+ hours needed for porous Fell Sandstone even at an exposed crag, let alone this sheltered one.

High ambient humidity
85%

Average humidity over the last 7 days is 79%, and today's humidity ranges from 64–89%, significantly limiting evaporation from the rock surface.

Sheltered slow-drying position
90%

Ravens Crag is lower on the hillside and sheltered by the ridge above, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than the already-cautious baseline for Fell Sandstone.

Moderate wind from west
60%

A westerly wind of ~17 km/h today will help surface drying on this west-facing crag, though it is partially sheltered from full exposure.

Summer temperatures adequate
75%

Temperatures around 16°C are reasonable for drying, though not high enough to compensate for the humidity and shelter issues.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait at least until Aug 12, when two full dry days with lower humidity (62%) and warmer temperatures (24°C) will have had a chance to dry the rock more thoroughly.
  • If visiting the area, consider checking Bowden Doors first — as the higher, more exposed crag it will dry significantly faster than Ravens Crag.
  • Before climbing, check the ground at the base of the crag: if it is moist rather than sandy-dry, the rock is certainly still holding internal moisture.
Do Not Climb 72%
5 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
72%
confidence

Today saw 3.1mm of rain with high humidity (84%), and the rock will not have had any meaningful drying time. Given Ravens Crag's sheltered position and slow-drying character, at least 48 hours of dry weather is needed before conditions can be considered acceptable — tomorrow and the day after look dry but marginal.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside and is partially sheltered by the Bowden Doors ridge above, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than its better-known neighbour despite identical rock type.
  • The predominantly low-angle slab problems with rounded holds are especially sensitive to residual moisture — friction-dependent climbing on damp Fell Sandstone risks both hold damage and slips.
  • West-facing aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun, and prevailing westerly winds today and tomorrow will help surface drying but cannot address internal moisture from today's rain.
  • The recent weather pattern has been unsettled with multiple small rain events (5.5mm on Aug 4, 2.3mm on Aug 6, 3.1mm today), meaning the rock has had little opportunity to dry out fully between wettings.
Warnings 2
  • Fell Sandstone loses up to 50% of its compressive strength when wet — climbing on damp rock risks permanent hold breakage on these irreplaceable problems.
  • The rock surface may appear dry while remaining saturated internally; do not rely on visual inspection alone, especially at this slower-drying venue.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Today's 3.1mm of rain on already-moist rock (previous events on Aug 3–6 totalling 8.2mm with only two dry days since) means the sandstone is almost certainly saturated internally despite any surface drying.

Drying Analysis

With westerly winds around 15–20 km/h and afternoon sun on the west face, surface drying will begin tomorrow, but the sheltered lower position and 76% forecast humidity mean 48+ hours are needed for meaningful internal drying.

Structural Risk

The repeated wetting cycle over the past week without prolonged drying increases the risk of grain loosening and hold breakage, particularly on the rounded slab holds that characterise this venue.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures (16–18°C) aid drying and there is no freeze-thaw concern, but the humid, unsettled pattern with humidity averaging 80% over the last week significantly slows evaporation.

Contributing Factors 7
Rain today (3.1mm)
95%

Today's moderate rainfall has re-wetted the rock surface and replenished internal moisture, resetting the drying clock.

Repeated recent wetting
90%

Multiple rain events over the past week (Aug 3, 4, 5, 6, and 9) totalling ~11mm have kept the rock in a persistently moist state with insufficient drying windows between events.

Sheltered lower position
85%

Ravens Crag's position below the Bowden Doors ridge reduces airflow and sun exposure, causing it to dry noticeably more slowly than the upper crag.

High average humidity
85%

Humidity has averaged 80% over the past week and is 84% today, significantly slowing evaporative drying from the porous sandstone.

Westerly wind on W aspect
75%

Prevailing westerly winds at 15–25 km/h blow directly onto the west-facing rock, which will help surface drying over the coming days.

Summer temperatures
90%

Temperatures in the mid-to-high teens provide reasonable evaporative potential and eliminate any freeze-thaw concern.

Dry forecast tomorrow
70%

No rain is forecast for Aug 10–11, providing a 48-hour drying window before the next light rain on Aug 12.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today or tomorrow — the rock needs at least 48 hours of dry weather after today's rain, and longer given the cumulative moisture from recent days.
  • If visiting on Aug 11, perform careful touch-tests on the rock surface and check whether the ground at the base of the crag is still damp — if so, the rock is still wet internally.
  • Consider climbing at Bowden Doors higher up the hillside instead, as it dries faster due to greater exposure; but still allow adequate drying time after today's rain.
Do Not Climb 45%
6 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
45%
confidence

Recent rain on Aug 4 (5.5mm), Aug 6 (2.3mm), and trace precipitation today (0.1mm) mean Ravens Crag has not had adequate continuous drying time. Given the crag's sheltered position and slow-drying reputation, internal moisture is likely still present despite possible surface drying.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside and is partially sheltered by the ridge above Bowden Doors, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than its neighbour — treat drying estimates conservatively.
  • The predominantly slab-based, low-angle climbing with rounded holds makes friction critical, and even slight residual dampness dramatically increases the risk of slipping and polishing holds.
  • W-facing aspect receives only afternoon/evening sun, which limits the daily drying window — morning hours offer no direct solar drying.
  • The crag is part of the Colour Heugh SSSI, so any rock damage from wet climbing has conservation as well as ethical implications.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb on Fell Sandstone that may be internally damp — significant strength loss begins at just 1% water saturation, and the surface can appear dry while the interior remains wet.
  • Slab climbing on rounded holds with any residual moisture is a serious slip hazard and accelerates irreversible polish and erosion on this SSSI-designated rock.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The most recent significant rain was 2.3mm on Aug 6, with only one fully dry day (Aug 7) since then and a trace of precipitation today — insufficient continuous drying for porous Fell Sandstone at a sheltered site.

Drying Analysis

One full dry day with decent SW wind (25.6 km/h on Aug 7) and moderate temperatures (~18°C) provides some surface drying, but the sheltered, W-facing aspect and 78% average humidity over the past week limit evaporation from depth.

Structural Risk

With 8.3mm of rain in the past 7 days across multiple events, the sandstone has had repeated wetting cycles without extended drying — internal moisture likely remains above the threshold where significant strength loss occurs.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures (mid-to-high teens) and moderate winds are helpful for drying, but persistently elevated humidity (78% average) partly offsets these benefits.

Contributing Factors 6
Recent rain Aug 6
90%

2.3mm of rain fell just two days ago, and the crag has had only one fully dry day since.

Repeated wetting cycle
85%

Multiple rain events over the past week (Aug 4: 5.5mm, Aug 5: 0.2mm, Aug 6: 2.3mm) have kept the rock periodically wetted without extended drying.

Sheltered slow-drying position
90%

Ravens Crag is explicitly noted as drying more slowly than Bowden Doors due to its lower, sheltered position behind the ridge.

Elevated humidity
80%

Average humidity of 78% over the past week significantly slows evaporation from porous sandstone.

Moderate wind and temperature
70%

Sustained winds of 20–42 km/h and summer temperatures around 18°C provide some useful drying assistance.

Trace precipitation today
60%

0.1mm today resets the consecutive dry day count and may refresh surface moisture films.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait at least 48 hours of fully dry weather from the last rain event before visiting — realistically Aug 12 or later given the forecast shows further light rain tomorrow.
  • If visiting the area, consider checking the faster-drying Bowden Doors above the ridge first as a proxy — if that is still damp, Ravens Crag will certainly be too wet.
  • Check the base of the crag on arrival: if the ground or sandy soil below the rock face is not completely dry, the rock interior will still hold moisture.
Do Not Climb 55%
7 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
55%
confidence

Ravens Crag received 2.3mm of rain yesterday (Aug 6) and has had only one full dry day since, which is insufficient drying time for this sheltered, slow-drying venue. The preceding week also brought multiple small rain events (5.5mm on Aug 4, light traces on Aug 3 and 5), meaning internal moisture levels are likely still elevated despite today's dry and breezy conditions.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside and is partially sheltered by the ridge above (Bowden Doors), meaning it receives less direct wind and dries noticeably more slowly than the main crag despite being part of the same system.
  • The predominantly low-angle slab problems with rounded holds are especially dangerous when damp — friction-dependent moves on rounded Fell Sandstone holds become treacherous, and the low-angle rock retains surface moisture longer than steep terrain.
  • The west aspect means the crag only gets afternoon and evening sun, limiting the daily drying window compared to a south-facing venue.
  • Recent rainfall has been frequent and scattered (five separate rain events in the last 10 days totalling ~9mm), preventing the rock from ever fully drying out internally between episodes.
Warnings 2
  • Fell Sandstone loses up to 50% of its compressive strength when wet — climbing on apparently dry but internally damp rock risks permanent hold breakage on Ravens Crag's rounded features.
  • The slab-heavy nature of Ravens Crag makes damp conditions especially dangerous for climber safety due to reliance on friction on rounded holds.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 2.3mm on Aug 6, 0.2mm on Aug 5, 5.5mm on Aug 4, and smaller amounts on Aug 3 and Aug 1, the rock has had no sustained dry spell to fully purge internal moisture — only one dry day since the most recent meaningful rain.

Drying Analysis

Today's SW wind at ~24 km/h and lower humidity (71%) are helpful, but the partial shelter from the ridge above reduces effective wind exposure, and a single dry day is well short of the 48+ hours needed after cumulative light-to-moderate rain on porous Fell Sandstone.

Structural Risk

The repeated wetting cycles over the past 10 days mean the sandstone's compressive strength is likely still significantly reduced internally; climbing on the rounded, friction-dependent holds typical of Ravens Crag risks hold breakage and permanent damage.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures (~18°C) and longer daylight hours aid drying, but the persistently elevated humidity (averaging 78% over the last week) partially offsets this benefit.

Contributing Factors 7
Recent rain yesterday
90%

2.3mm fell on Aug 6 with only one full dry day since, well below the minimum 48-hour drying guideline for porous sandstone.

Repeated wetting cycles
85%

Five separate rain events in the last 10 days (Aug 1, 3, 4, 5, 6) have prevented the rock from achieving a fully dry internal state.

Sheltered slow-drying venue
85%

Ravens Crag's position below the ridge and partial shelter from wind means it dries noticeably slower than nearby Bowden Doors.

Moderate wind today
70%

SW wind at 23.8 km/h is helping surface evaporation, though the sheltered position reduces its effectiveness at crag level.

Summer temperatures
75%

Temperatures around 18°C provide reasonable evaporative potential, though not exceptional for mid-summer.

Elevated average humidity
80%

Average humidity of 78% over the past week slows evaporation and prolongs internal drying times.

More rain forecast tomorrow
75%

Light rain (0.7mm) is forecast for Aug 8 followed by a more significant 4.9mm on Aug 9, which will reset drying progress.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — wait for a sustained dry spell of at least 48 hours after the most recent rain, which the forecast does not provide until Aug 11 at the earliest.
  • Check conditions at the higher Bowden Doors first, as it dries faster; if Bowden Doors still feels damp, Ravens Crag will certainly be too wet.
  • After the forecast rain on Aug 9, monitor conditions from Aug 11 onwards — two dry days with good wind could bring the crag back into condition by Aug 12.
Do Not Climb 60%
9 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
60%
confidence

Rain fell in the early hours of today (1.6mm) on top of 5.5mm on August 4th and smaller amounts on the 3rd and 5th, meaning the rock has had no meaningful drying window. Given Ravens Crag's sheltered position and slower drying characteristics, internal moisture levels are almost certainly still elevated despite any surface drying later today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside than Bowden Doors and is partially sheltered by the ridge above, which significantly reduces airflow and sun exposure, causing it to dry noticeably more slowly than its neighbour.
  • The predominantly slab and low-angle nature of the problems means water pools and soaks in rather than running off, and rounded holds on porous Fell Sandstone are especially vulnerable to grain loosening when damp.
  • West-facing aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun, which limits the effective drying hours per day — and today's 100% cloud cover eliminates even that advantage.
  • The recent wet spell (25.9mm on July 26, 2.3mm on July 28, then repeated light rain through early August) has kept background moisture levels elevated for over a week with no sustained dry period.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on damp Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the slab-based, rounded-hold character of Ravens Crag makes it especially vulnerable.
  • Surface-dry appearance is unreliable on porous sandstone; internal moisture can persist long after the surface looks climbable.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 1.6mm of rain today (mostly in the early hours), 5.5mm on August 4th, and trace amounts on the 3rd and 5th, the rock has been repeatedly re-wetted and has had zero consecutive fully dry days — internal moisture is almost certainly well above safe thresholds.

Drying Analysis

Although humidity drops to the low 50s this afternoon and there is moderate wind, the crag's sheltered position below the ridge and its west aspect under full cloud cover today severely limit effective drying; one afternoon is wholly insufficient to dry porous Fell Sandstone after repeated recent wetting.

Structural Risk

Fell Sandstone loses significant compressive strength at very low saturation levels, and the repeated wetting cycle over the past 10 days without adequate drying means holds — particularly the rounded, friction-dependent features characteristic of Ravens Crag — are at elevated risk of breakage.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures are helpful for evaporation but the recent pattern of frequent light rain with average humidity around 77% over the past week has prevented the sustained dry spell needed for full internal drying of this porous rock.

Contributing Factors 6
Rain today and recently
95%

1.6mm fell in the early hours today, following 5.5mm on Aug 4th and trace rain on Aug 3rd and 5th, resetting the drying clock repeatedly.

Zero consecutive dry days
90%

There have been no fully dry days in succession since the heavy 25.9mm event on July 26th, with every 1–2 dry days interrupted by further rain.

Sheltered slow-drying position
85%

Ravens Crag's location below the ridge and partial wind shelter means it dries markedly slower than nearby Bowden Doors, adding significant time to any drying estimate.

Afternoon drying potential
70%

Humidity drops to ~51% this afternoon with moderate westerly wind, providing some surface evaporation — but insufficient to dry internally after repeated wetting.

Dry forecast ahead
80%

No rain is forecast for the next 5+ days with improving temperatures and lower humidity, which will progressively allow internal moisture to dissipate.

High background humidity
85%

Average humidity over the past 7 days has been 77%, slowing evaporation and keeping the rock's internal moisture elevated.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravens Crag today — the rock received rain this morning and has had no adequate drying period after repeated recent wetting.
  • Wait for at least 48 hours of dry weather from the end of today's rain before visiting; August 8th or 9th are the earliest realistic options, and even then assess conditions on arrival.
  • Check the ground at the base of the crag for dampness before climbing — if the soil or sand is moist, the rock above is certainly still wet internally.
Do Not Climb 93%
11 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
93%
confidence

Ravens Crag is currently wet and unsafe to climb — 6.5mm of rain fell today (with the heaviest bursts between 03:00 and 13:00), on top of a series of light showers over the past week and a significant 25.9mm event on July 26th. The rock will need at least 48–72 hours of dry weather to begin drying adequately, and the forecast shows further rain tomorrow and the day after.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside than Bowden Doors and is partially sheltered by the ridge above, meaning it receives less direct wind and sun and dries noticeably more slowly than its neighbour.
  • The predominantly slab-based and low-angle problems are especially vulnerable to moisture — water pools and seeps on slabs far longer than on steep or overhanging terrain, and rounded holds lose friction dramatically when damp.
  • The westerly aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun, limiting the solar drying window particularly on overcast days like today.
  • The site is part of the Colour Heugh SSSI, adding conservation sensitivity on top of the climbing ethics requirement to avoid wet rock.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the slab-based rounded holds at Ravens Crag are especially fragile when damp.
  • The rock surface may appear dry before the interior has adequately dried — do not be fooled by surface appearance; check the ground at the base of the crag as a moisture indicator.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is currently saturated from 6.5mm of rain today, compounding residual moisture from light showers on August 1st and 3rd and the heavy 25.9mm event on July 26th — internal moisture levels are very likely well above the danger threshold.

Drying Analysis

Drying has been poor over the past week due to persistent humidity averaging 76%, predominantly NE/E winds that don't directly assist a west-facing crag, and repeated light precipitation events preventing any sustained dry period since July 26th.

Structural Risk

With recent heavy and repeated wetting, Fell Sandstone strength is significantly reduced — the slab-based rounded holds are at high risk of breakage, and climbing now would cause permanent damage to this porous rock.

Seasonal Factors

Summer temperatures (~15–21°C) would normally aid drying, but the persistently high humidity and frequent showers characteristic of this unsettled spell are preventing meaningful recovery.

Contributing Factors 7
Heavy rain today
95%

6.5mm fell today with the bulk arriving in intense bursts around 03:00–05:00 and 12:00–13:00, thoroughly wetting the rock.

Cumulative recent moisture
90%

Light showers on July 31st (0.9mm), August 1st (0.4mm), and August 3rd (0.2mm) prevented proper drying after the major 25.9mm event on July 26th.

Sheltered slow-drying site
90%

Ravens Crag's position below the ridge and partial wind shelter mean it dries significantly slower than nearby Bowden Doors.

High ambient humidity
90%

Humidity has averaged 76% over the past week and is 88% today, severely limiting evaporative drying from the rock surface.

Forecast rain continues
85%

Further rain is forecast for August 5th (3.2mm) and August 6th (1.2mm), resetting any drying progress.

Moderate summer temperatures
85%

Temperatures around 15–21°C provide some drying potential but are insufficient to overcome the high humidity and frequent precipitation.

Westerly wind picking up
80%

Westerly winds of 19–25 km/h are helpful for this W-facing crag and could aid drying once rain stops, but this benefit is negated by ongoing precipitation.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravens Crag today or in the coming days — the rock is wet and further rain is forecast through August 6th.
  • Monitor conditions from August 7th onward; if the forecast dry day holds and humidity drops, the earliest realistic window for assessment would be August 8th–9th, but even that depends on no further rain.
  • Consider non-porous alternatives in the region (e.g. whinstone crags like Kyloe or the Great Whin Sill venues) if you need a climbing fix during this unsettled spell.
Do Not Climb 90%
12 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Ravens Crag is currently wet and unsuitable for climbing. Light but repeated precipitation today (1.7mm across multiple hours) on top of recent rain events means the porous Fell Sandstone will be saturated, and the sheltered, slow-drying nature of this venue prevents any meaningful drying. The five-day forecast shows further rain on each of the next four days, offering no adequate drying window.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravens Crag sits lower on the hillside than Bowden Doors and is partially sheltered by the ridge above, meaning it dries noticeably more slowly than its neighbour — add at least 24 hours to any standard drying estimate.
  • The predominantly slab-based and low-angle problems with rounded holds are especially dangerous when damp, as friction is critical and there is no margin for slipping on weakened, polished surfaces.
  • Westerly aspect means the crag only receives afternoon and evening sun; combined with the sheltered position, solar drying is limited compared to south-facing venues.
  • The recent heavy rain event on 26 July (25.9mm) followed by further showers on 28 July, 31 July, 1 August, and today means the rock has had no sustained dry spell to fully recover — internal moisture levels are likely still elevated.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the rounded slab holds at Ravens Crag are especially vulnerable to grain loosening and breakage.
  • The rock surface may appear dry while the interior remains saturated — do not rely on visual inspection alone at this venue given the cumulative rainfall.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Multiple rain events over the past week (2.3mm on 28 July, 0.9mm on 31 July, 0.4mm on 1 August, and 1.7mm today) on top of a major 25.9mm deluge on 26 July mean the rock has had no opportunity to fully dry internally, and today's intermittent showers have re-wetted the surface.

Drying Analysis

Although there were brief dry spells between showers, the sheltered and west-facing aspect of Ravens Crag combined with humidity consistently above 75% and moderate winds predominantly from the east and southeast (not hitting the west face effectively) have severely limited drying.

Structural Risk

The cumulative moisture loading from repeated wetting events over the past 8 days poses a significant risk of hold breakage on the rounded, friction-dependent holds that characterise this venue — even 1% saturation begins weakening Fell Sandstone.

Seasonal Factors

Mid-summer temperatures (~15–17°C) are helpful but not exceptional, and the current unsettled pattern with high humidity and overcast skies is limiting evaporative drying potential.

Contributing Factors 7
Active precipitation today
95%

Today has seen approximately 1.7mm of intermittent light rain through the morning and early afternoon, directly wetting the rock surface.

No sustained dry spell
90%

Since the major 25.9mm rainfall on 26 July, showers on the 28th, 31st, 1st, and today have prevented any continuous drying period long enough for this slow-drying venue.

High ambient humidity
90%

Humidity has averaged 75% over the past week with today reaching 87%, severely limiting evaporative drying from the rock surface.

Sheltered slow-drying position
85%

Ravens Crag's position below the ridge means it receives less direct wind and sun than Bowden Doors, adding significant time to any drying estimate.

Easterly winds unhelpful
80%

Recent prevailing winds from the east and southeast do not directly hit the west-facing rock face, reducing the wind-assisted drying effect.

Summer temperatures moderate
85%

Temperatures around 15–18°C provide some drying capacity but are not high enough to compensate for the persistent moisture input and high humidity.

Wet forecast ahead
85%

Rain is forecast on each of the next four days (9.4mm, 1.5mm, 3.3mm, 0.7mm), with no adequate drying window in sight.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravens Crag today or in the coming days — the rock is wet and the forecast offers no sufficient drying window.
  • Monitor conditions from around 9 August onward; if the forecast dry day materialises, you would still need at least 48 hours of dry, breezy weather before visiting this slow-drying venue.
  • Consider Bowden Doors (higher, more exposed) as a first option when conditions improve, as it will dry significantly faster than Ravens Crag.

Climbing Outlook

Today 15 Aug
Likely Safe 82%
Sat 15 Aug
Likely Safe 85%
Sun 16 Aug
Likely Safe 82%
Mon 17 Aug
Do Not Climb 75%
Tue 18 Aug
Do Not Climb 80%
Wed 19 Aug
Do Not Climb 80%

Analysis Calendar

August 2026