CountyEthics

Dovehole

Sandstone · Sheltered exposure · 124m altitude

Do not climb

Condition Analysis

AI-powered assessment using site data and 14-day weather history

1d ago
Today
Do Not Climb
35%
confidence

Dovehole has received frequent light rain over the past week (7.2mm in 7 days across multiple events), with further rain today (2.4mm forecast), giving zero consecutive dry days. Despite the south-facing aspect, the sheltered woodland setting significantly slows drying, and the rock is very likely still holding internal moisture — we recommend not climbing today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting creates a sheltered microclimate that traps humid air around the boulders, significantly slowing drying even though the clearing itself is south-facing.
  • The standalone boulders have all-round exposure to rain from multiple angles, meaning even light showers wet more surface area than a single cliff face would.
  • Steeply overhanging faces on some boulders may be climbable sooner than vertical or slab faces, but the porous Fell Sandstone can still wick moisture from wet base sections upward via capillary action.
  • The grassy landings and forest floor act as moisture indicators — if the ground feels damp underfoot, assume the rock is still wet internally.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb today — the Fell Sandstone has had zero consecutive dry days and is almost certainly holding internal moisture despite any dry-looking surfaces.
  • Near-freezing overnight temperatures combined with saturated rock create freeze-thaw conditions that can cause invisible internal damage to the sandstone.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Multiple rain events over the past 10 days (Apr 1: 4.3mm, Apr 3: 4.4mm, Apr 4: 2.5mm, Apr 5: 1.7mm, Apr 9: 1.4mm, Apr 11: 2.3mm, Apr 12: 1.1mm, plus 2.4mm today) mean the rock has had no sustained drying window and is almost certainly holding significant internal moisture despite any surface drying.

Drying Analysis

The south-facing aspect and moderate winds (19–28 km/h) help surface evaporation, but the sheltered woodland position traps humidity around the boulders; the longest dry spell in the past 10 days was only 3 days (Apr 6–8), which is marginal even in good conditions and was followed by more rain.

Structural Risk

With repeated wetting cycles and no adequate drying period, the Fell Sandstone is at elevated risk of grain loosening and hold breakage — significant weakening begins at just ~1% saturation, and the rock has been repeatedly wetted.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland means moderate temperatures (~8–12°C) and overnight lows near or below freezing, which slows drying and introduces some freeze-thaw risk on any internally saturated rock.

Contributing Factors 7
Repeated recent rain events
90%

Rain fell on 7 of the last 13 days totalling ~18mm with no drying window longer than 3 days, keeping the porous sandstone in a persistently moist state.

Rain forecast today
85%

A further 2.4mm of rain today resets any drying progress and gives zero consecutive dry days.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

The forest canopy and sheltered position trap humid air around the boulders, significantly reducing airflow and drying rate compared to exposed crags.

South-facing clearing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing receives good solar radiation during the day, which aids surface evaporation when the sun is out.

Moderate wind and humidity
70%

Winds of 19–28 km/h would normally aid drying, but the sheltered position means the boulders receive much less wind benefit, and humidity averaging 71% is not particularly low.

Near-freezing overnight lows
70%

Overnight lows near 0°C (today's min 1.9°C, tomorrow forecast -0.0°C) slow drying overnight and pose minor freeze-thaw risk to any internally saturated rock.

Cumulative spring moisture
80%

28.8mm of rain over the past 28 days with frequent wetting cycles means the sandstone has had limited opportunity to fully dry out at depth.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least 2 full dry days (48 hours with no rain) before visiting — the earliest realistic window may be April 16–17 if the forecast holds.
  • On arrival, check the ground at the base of each boulder: if the grass or soil feels damp, the rock is almost certainly still wet internally and should not be climbed.
  • If you do visit after adequate drying, prioritise the steep overhanging problems which dry fastest; avoid slabs and vertical faces which retain moisture longest.

Previous Analyses

Do Not Climb 90%
1 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Dovehole has received rain today (1.4mm) and had 2.3mm just yesterday, with no consecutive dry days accumulated. The Fell Sandstone will be wet internally despite any surface drying, and climbing today risks both hold breakage and permanent rock damage.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting and sheltered position significantly reduce airflow at rock level, meaning drying is slower than the south-facing aspect alone would suggest — treat drying estimates conservatively.
  • The standalone boulders have relatively low mass, which can aid drying compared to large cliff faces, but also means they absorb moisture from all sides including the base via capillary action from damp ground.
  • The forest clearing's grassy landings act as a useful moisture indicator: if the grass and soil at the base of the boulders are damp, the rock is almost certainly still holding internal moisture.
  • Recent weeks have seen a pattern of intermittent rain every 1–3 days (Apr 1, 3, 4, 5, 9, 11, 12) preventing the sandstone from ever fully drying out — cumulative saturation is a real concern.
Warnings 3
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the NMC 'Love the rocks' ethic absolutely prohibits climbing in these conditions.
  • The rock surface may appear dry before the interior has dried — do not be deceived by surface appearance alone, especially after repeated wetting cycles.
  • Overnight frost risk (forecast -0.8°C on Apr 14) combined with internal moisture creates active freeze-thaw conditions that further weaken the rock.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With rain today (1.4mm) on top of 2.3mm yesterday and repeated wetting events over the past two weeks (Apr 1, 3, 4, 5, 9, 11, 12), the sandstone is almost certainly saturated internally despite low individual rainfall totals.

Drying Analysis

Although the south-facing aspect and moderate winds (36 km/h SW today) aid surface evaporation, the sheltered woodland setting limits airflow at rock level, and zero consecutive dry days means no meaningful drying period has begun.

Structural Risk

The repeated wetting cycle over the past 12 days without adequate drying intervals means the rock is likely at or above the critical moisture threshold where significant compressive strength loss (10–50%) occurs, posing real risk of hold breakage.

Seasonal Factors

Early spring conditions with average temperatures around 8°C and overnight lows near or below freezing (e.g. -0.1°C on Apr 2, forecast -0.8°C on Apr 14) mean slow drying rates and potential freeze-thaw damage to moisture-laden rock.

Contributing Factors 7
Rain today and yesterday
95%

1.4mm today following 2.3mm yesterday means the rock surface has been freshly wetted with no drying window.

Repeated recent wetting cycle
90%

Rain fell on 7 of the last 12 days (Apr 1, 3, 4, 5, 9, 11, 12) totalling ~13.5mm, preventing the sandstone from ever fully drying internally.

Sheltered woodland position
85%

Despite 36 km/h winds aloft, the sheltered forest setting greatly reduces effective airflow at rock level, significantly slowing evaporative drying.

South-facing clearing aspect
80%

The south-facing aspect provides good solar radiation during spring days, which partially offsets the sheltered position for surface drying.

Moderate wind and low humidity
70%

Today's 36 km/h SW wind and 71% humidity are moderately favourable for drying, though the sheltered setting limits the wind's benefit at ground level.

Spring temperatures marginal
85%

Average temperatures around 8–11°C with overnight lows near freezing provide only moderate drying energy and introduce freeze-thaw risk when the rock is moisture-laden.

Zero consecutive dry days
95%

The counter stands at zero dry days, far short of the minimum 2 dry days recommended for porous Fell Sandstone after any wetting.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — the rock has been freshly wetted and has had no drying time; wait for at least 2 full dry days.
  • Check the soil and grass at the base of the boulders as a proxy: if the ground is damp, the sandstone is certainly still wet internally.
  • Monitor forecasts closely — the next realistic window may open around April 17–18 if the April 15 rain is moderate and is followed by two dry days as forecast.
Do Not Climb 85%
2 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
85%
confidence

Dovehole received 2.3mm of rain today and has had no consecutive dry days, following a wet spell over the past week (5.4mm in 7 days). The sheltered woodland setting means the porous Fell Sandstone will not have had adequate drying time and should not be climbed.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's sheltered woodland setting significantly reduces airflow around the boulders, meaning that despite the south-facing clearing, drying is slower than open-aspect crags and moisture lingers in still air between the trees.
  • The standalone boulders sit on grassy landings — if the grass at the base is damp, the rock is almost certainly still holding internal moisture and should not be climbed.
  • Steeply overhanging faces on some boulders may appear surface-dry even when the rock is internally saturated — this is the most dangerous scenario for hold breakage on Fell Sandstone.
  • The woodland canopy in early spring is still thin, allowing some solar gain into the clearing, but this advantage is offset by the sheltered wind exposure which is the dominant drying factor here.
Warnings 3
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the NMC ethic 'Love the rocks' places rock conservation above all else.
  • The rock surface may appear dry on overhanging faces while the interior remains saturated — do not be deceived by surface appearance.
  • Overnight frost is possible (min forecast near 0°C on April 14th) which could cause freeze-thaw damage to moisture-laden sandstone.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 2.3mm of rain today and further rain on April 9th (1.4mm), April 5th (1.7mm), April 4th (2.5mm), and April 3rd (4.4mm), the rock has been repeatedly wetted over the past week with only brief dry windows, meaning internal moisture levels are likely elevated despite any surface drying.

Drying Analysis

Although the south-facing aspect helps, the sheltered position severely limits wind-assisted drying — today's 28 km/h southerly wind will be significantly attenuated in the woodland, and the cumulative wet period means even good drying conditions would need 48+ hours from the last rain to be confident.

Structural Risk

Repeated wetting over the past 10 days without sustained drying periods means the Fell Sandstone is likely retaining significant internal moisture, placing holds at elevated risk of breakage — climbing today could permanently damage the soft sandstone.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings moderate temperatures (~8–10°C) but unpredictable rain cycles; the cumulative winter and early spring moisture means the rock may be in generally poor baseline condition despite individual dry days.

Contributing Factors 6
Rain today (2.3mm)
95%

Active rainfall today means the rock surface and interior are freshly wetted with zero drying time.

Repeated recent wetting
90%

Rain on 5 of the last 9 days (April 1, 3, 4, 5, 9, and today) totalling over 12mm means the rock has had no opportunity to fully dry internally.

Sheltered woodland position
85%

The woodland setting drastically reduces effective wind speed at the rock surface, making the 28 km/h ambient wind far less effective for drying.

South-facing clearing
75%

The south-facing aspect provides good solar radiation which aids surface evaporation during dry spells, partially offsetting the sheltered position.

Moderate temperatures (~9.5°C)
80%

Temperatures are adequate for some evaporation but not warm enough to drive rapid drying, especially in a sheltered setting.

Moderate humidity (67%)
80%

Humidity at 67% allows some evaporative drying but is not low enough to significantly accelerate the process.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Dovehole today — the rock is freshly wet and internally saturated from repeated recent rainfall.
  • Wait for at least 48 hours of dry weather with temperatures above 10°C before visiting; check the grass at the base of the boulders as a moisture indicator on arrival.
  • If visiting the area, consider non-porous alternatives such as Whinstone crags (e.g. Kyloe-in or Bowden Doors whinstone sections) which are less vulnerable to moisture damage.
Do Not Climb 45%
3 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
45%
confidence

Despite a promising dry spell from April 6–8, rain returned yesterday (1.4mm on April 9) and trace precipitation today (0.1mm), resetting the drying clock. With zero consecutive dry days, a sheltered woodland setting, and moderate spring temperatures, the porous Fell Sandstone is unlikely to have dried adequately and we recommend waiting.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting provides shelter from wind, which significantly slows evaporation despite the south-facing clearing — the still air within the forest traps moisture around the boulders.
  • The standalone boulders sit on grassy landings in a forest clearing; check the ground at the base of each boulder — if the grass or soil is damp, the rock is almost certainly still holding moisture internally.
  • Steeply overhanging faces on some boulders may have stayed dry through the light recent showers, but the porous sandstone wicks moisture from above and behind, so even overhangs should be tested carefully.
  • The site had a wetter-than-usual recent period (23.8mm in 28 days across multiple rain events), meaning cumulative moisture loading in the sandstone may be higher than any single rain event suggests.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb on Fell Sandstone that has not had at least 48 hours of genuinely dry weather — surface-dry rock can still be saturated internally, risking permanent hold breakage.
  • Rain is forecast for April 11 and April 13, which will further delay any drying window — plan accordingly.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Rain of 1.4mm fell yesterday (April 9) with a trace today, following earlier rain events on April 3 (4.4mm), April 4 (2.5mm), and April 5 (1.7mm), meaning the rock has experienced repeated wetting with only brief drying windows and is very likely still holding internal moisture.

Drying Analysis

The sheltered woodland setting severely limits wind-assisted drying despite the south-facing aspect; the brief dry spell of April 6–8 with moderate temperatures (12–18°C) would have started surface drying, but yesterday's rain re-wetted surfaces and the interior likely never fully dried from the earlier April showers.

Structural Risk

Repeated wetting and incomplete drying cycles over recent weeks increase the risk of grain loosening and hold breakage on the fine-grained Fell Sandstone, particularly on well-trafficked problems.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings variable conditions with overnight lows near or below freezing (−0.1°C on April 2, −0.9°C on March 26), introducing minor freeze-thaw risk on any moisture retained in the rock.

Contributing Factors 7
Recent rain yesterday
90%

1.4mm fell on April 9 with 0.1mm today, resetting the drying clock to zero consecutive dry days.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

The forest environment significantly reduces airflow around the boulders, trapping humid air and slowing evaporation despite the clearing's south-facing aspect.

Cumulative moisture loading
80%

Multiple rain events over the past two weeks (5.7mm in 7 days, 23.8mm in 28 days) mean the sandstone has been repeatedly wetted without sufficient drying time between events.

South-facing clearing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing receives good solar radiation for the time of year, which helps surface drying during sunny spells.

Moderate spring temperatures
80%

Average temperatures around 7.5°C over the past week are sufficient for slow drying but not warm enough to drive rapid evaporation.

Moderate humidity levels
70%

Average humidity of 72% over the past week limits drying potential, though today's lower 64% humidity is more favourable.

Near-freezing overnight lows
65%

Overnight lows near 0°C in recent days introduce minor freeze-thaw risk for any moisture retained in the porous sandstone.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least two full dry days before visiting — the earliest realistic window may open around April 15–16 if the forecast holds.
  • If you do visit, thoroughly check the ground at the base of each boulder: if soil or grass is damp, do not climb, as the rock interior will still be wet.
  • Consider targeting only the steepest overhanging problems if conditions appear borderline, and use the lightest possible touch — avoid any holds that feel gritty or soft.
Do Not Climb 55%
5 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
55%
confidence

Today (April 9) has seen 1.1mm of rain, interrupting a promising 3-day dry spell after scattered light rain on April 3–5. The sheltered woodland setting at Dovehole significantly slows drying, and despite the south-facing aspect and decent recent temperatures, the rock cannot be considered reliably dry today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting creates a sheltered microclimate that traps moisture and reduces airflow around the boulders, meaning drying times are significantly longer than for open-aspect crags despite the south-facing clearing.
  • The standalone boulders at Dovehole have all-round exposure to moisture — unlike cliff faces, rain reaches every surface including undersides via splash, so even overhanging faces can absorb water during heavier events.
  • The grassy landings and forest floor at Dovehole act as a useful field indicator: if the ground around the boulders is damp or soft, the rock interior is almost certainly still holding moisture.
  • The cumulative 51mm over the last 28 days means the rock has had repeated wetting cycles through late March and early April, keeping background moisture levels elevated even during dry spells.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb today — the rock has been freshly wetted and the porous Fell Sandstone will be structurally weakened.
  • The surface may appear dry before the interior has fully dried; apparent dryness is not a reliable indicator on Fell Sandstone after repeated wetting cycles.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Today's 1.1mm of rain has re-wetted surfaces that had benefited from three dry days (April 6–8), and the high background moisture from 51mm over 28 days means internal pore saturation is likely still elevated.

Drying Analysis

The three dry days from April 6–8 with temperatures reaching 18°C and moderate winds were helpful, but the sheltered woodland position limits effective drying, and today's rain has reset the clock on surface drying.

Structural Risk

With repeated wetting–drying cycles over recent weeks and today's fresh moisture, there is a moderate risk of grain loosening and hold breakage on the porous Fell Sandstone, particularly on well-trafficked problems.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings variable conditions with cool overnight temperatures (down to 1°C recently) that slow drying overnight, and humidity averaging 74% over the past week limits evaporative potential.

Contributing Factors 6
Today's fresh rainfall
90%

1.1mm of rain today has re-wetted rock surfaces, resetting the drying clock after what had been a promising 3-day dry spell.

Sheltered woodland microclimate
85%

The forest setting significantly reduces wind penetration and airflow around the boulders, substantially slowing evaporation despite the south-facing clearing.

South-facing clearing aspect
80%

The south-facing orientation provides good solar radiation during April days, aiding surface drying when the sun is out.

Cumulative monthly rainfall
75%

51mm over 28 days with multiple wetting events means the rock has had limited opportunity to fully dry internally, keeping background pore saturation elevated.

Recent warm dry spell
80%

Three consecutive dry days (April 6–8) with temperatures reaching 18.2°C on April 8 provided good drying conditions before today's rain.

Moderate humidity levels
70%

Average humidity of 74% over the past week and 78% today limits the atmosphere's capacity to draw moisture from the rock.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait at least 2 full dry days after today's rain before visiting — the earliest realistic window is April 11 if April 10 stays dry as forecast, but check conditions carefully on arrival.
  • On arrival, check the ground around the base of the boulders: if the grass and soil are damp rather than firm and dry, the rock interior is almost certainly still holding moisture.
  • If you do visit during the forecast dry window (April 10–13), prioritise steeply overhanging problems which shed water fastest and dry most quickly, but still touch-test holds before committing.
Marginal — Assess Conditions 60%
6 days ago
Today
Marginal — Assess Conditions
60%
confidence

Two full dry days (April 6–7) with warm temperatures and moderate wind following light rain on April 5 (1.7mm) suggest the rock is likely approaching dry, but the sheltered woodland setting, today's 0.3mm precipitation, and a recent spell of intermittent showers (9.1mm over the past week) warrant on-site verification before committing to climb.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting significantly reduces airflow at rock level despite recorded wind speeds, meaning actual drying at the boulders is slower than weather data alone would suggest.
  • The standalone boulders with south-facing aspect and forest clearing do benefit from direct solar radiation during clear spells — yesterday's clear morning (0% cloud until 14:00) would have been effective for surface drying.
  • Grassy landings and forest floor retain moisture and raise local humidity around the base of boulders — check that ground around boulder bases is sandy-dry, not damp, as a proxy for internal rock moisture.
  • Steeply overhanging faces will have shed the light rain quickly and are most likely to be climbable, while lower-angle slabs and north-facing sides of individual boulders may still harbour dampness.
Warnings 2
  • Today's 0.3mm precipitation and the sheltered woodland setting mean surface-dry rock could still be internally damp — apply the ground-dampness test before climbing.
  • Do not climb on any face that feels cool to the touch or shows any discolouration suggesting moisture, as Fell Sandstone loses significant strength at very low saturation levels.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The last significant rain was 1.7mm on April 5, followed by two dry days and today's trace 0.3mm; internal moisture from the week's cumulative 9.1mm may still be present in the porous Fell Sandstone, particularly in sheltered boulder faces.

Drying Analysis

Two dry days with temperatures reaching 12–14°C and moderate wind should have dried surface layers on south-facing rock, but the sheltered woodland position limits effective airflow and slows evaporation compared to exposed crags.

Structural Risk

Structural risk is moderate — the cumulative rainfall over recent weeks (50.5mm in 28 days) means deeper pore saturation is possible, and any remaining internal moisture weakens the iron oxide cemented holds that climbers rely on.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings improving but still unreliable drying conditions, with temperatures only averaging 7°C over the past week and overnight lows near or below freezing increasing the risk of residual internal moisture.

Contributing Factors 6
Recent light rainfall
85%

1.7mm fell on April 5 and 0.3mm today, with a cumulative 9.1mm over the past 7 days keeping the porous sandstone periodically re-wetted.

Two full dry days
85%

April 6 and 7 were completely dry with temperatures reaching 12–14°C, providing approximately 48 hours of drying before today's trace precipitation.

Sheltered woodland setting
80%

The woodland environment significantly reduces effective wind speed at boulder level and raises local humidity, slowing drying well below what open-crag weather data would suggest.

South-facing clearing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing receives good solar radiation, and yesterday's clear morning skies would have driven effective evaporation from sun-exposed faces.

Today's trace precipitation
70%

0.3mm today resets the consecutive dry-day count to zero and may re-wet surface layers, though the amount is very small.

Spring seasonal limitations
80%

Average temperature of only 7.1°C over the past week and overnight lows near freezing limit drying rates, with the monthly total of 50.5mm indicating a wet period overall.

Recommendations 3
  • Visit in the afternoon when solar warming has had maximum effect and visually inspect rock surfaces and ground dampness around boulder bases before climbing.
  • Prioritise steeply overhanging problems which shed water fastest and are most likely to be dry; avoid slabs and lower-angle faces.
  • If the forest floor and ground around boulder bases feels damp rather than sandy-dry, do not climb — the rock is likely still holding internal moisture.
Do Not Climb 45%
8 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
45%
confidence

Although today is dry, the last significant rain was only yesterday (1.7mm on April 5th, spread across multiple hours as scattered showers), following a wet spell of 12.9mm over the preceding four days (April 1–5). With only one full dry day elapsed, the sheltered woodland setting at Dovehole means the porous Fell Sandstone is very likely still holding internal moisture despite the south-facing aspect.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting creates a sheltered microclimate where moisture lingers in still air, significantly slowing drying despite the south-facing clearing — the 15 km/h wind today is unlikely to penetrate effectively into the forest.
  • The standalone boulders sit on grassy landings which retain ground-level moisture, and capillary rise from damp soil can keep the lower portions of boulders wet longer than upper faces.
  • Steeply overhanging problems (a Dovehole speciality) will have stayed drier than vertical or slabby faces during yesterday's scattered showers and may be the first to come into condition.
  • The cumulative 50.3mm over 28 days represents a persistently wet spring pattern for this porous sandstone, meaning background moisture levels in the rock are elevated beyond what a single dry day can resolve.
Warnings 2
  • Overnight frost to -0.2°C combined with residual internal moisture creates active freeze-thaw damage risk — climbing on weakened rock today could cause irreversible hold breakage.
  • The rock surface may appear dry in the afternoon sun while the interior remains saturated — do not rely on visual or touch assessment alone after only one dry day following a multi-day wet spell.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 1.7mm of scattered showers yesterday (April 5) and a cumulative 12.9mm over April 1–5, the porous Fell Sandstone is almost certainly still holding significant internal moisture after only one dry day.

Drying Analysis

Today's south-facing aspect and 15 km/h southerly wind provide some drying, but the sheltered woodland setting greatly limits airflow to the boulders, and one day is insufficient to dry sandstone after multiple days of rain totalling nearly 13mm.

Structural Risk

With likely internal moisture still present from the recent wet spell, climbing today risks grain loosening and hold breakage on these porous Fell Sandstone boulders — the surface may feel dry while the interior remains weakened.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings improving but still cool temperatures (average 6.7°C over the last week) and the overnight frost to -0.2°C today introduces a freeze-thaw concern on any moisture still within the rock.

Contributing Factors 7
Recent rainfall accumulation
90%

12.9mm fell across April 1–5, including 4.3mm, 4.4mm, 2.5mm, and 1.7mm on successive days, saturating the porous sandstone repeatedly.

Only one dry day
90%

With yesterday's 1.7mm of scattered showers being the last rain, only one dry day has elapsed — well short of the minimum 48-hour guideline for Fell Sandstone.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

The forest clearing significantly limits wind penetration to the boulders, reducing evaporative drying despite today's moderate southerly breeze.

South-facing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing receives good solar radiation in April, aiding surface evaporation during daylight hours.

Overnight frost risk
70%

The overnight minimum of -0.2°C today means any residual internal moisture may have undergone a freeze-thaw cycle, risking cumulative structural damage to already-wet rock.

Moderate spring temperatures
75%

Daytime highs around 12°C provide some drying capacity but are not warm enough to drive rapid evaporation from porous rock.

Cumulative 28-day rainfall
80%

50.3mm over the past 28 days indicates a persistently wet spring period, meaning background rock moisture levels are elevated.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait at least one more full dry day before visiting — tomorrow (April 7) with its forecast 15°C, 0mm rain, and 32 km/h SE wind should provide the second dry day needed.
  • If you visit tomorrow or later, check the ground at the base of the boulders: if the grass and soil are still damp, the rock is almost certainly still wet internally.
  • Focus on steeply overhanging problems first as these dry fastest and may have stayed partially sheltered from yesterday's showers; avoid slabs and lower boulder faces which retain moisture longest.
Do Not Climb 70%
8 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
70%
confidence

Dovehole has received 1.2mm of rain today and has had a pattern of frequent light-to-moderate precipitation over the past week (12.6mm in 7 days including 4.4mm and 2.5mm on the 3rd and 4th), with zero consecutive dry days. Despite strong winds today, the sheltered woodland setting limits effective drying, and the porous Fell Sandstone is very likely still holding internal moisture — climbing today is not recommended.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting significantly reduces the benefit of today's strong westerly winds, as the trees shelter the boulders from effective air movement, meaning drying is much slower than the raw wind speed suggests.
  • The standalone boulders in the clearing do benefit from the south-facing aspect and solar radiation, but early April sun angles and recent cloud cover limit solar drying potential at this latitude.
  • Steeply overhanging problems may appear surface-dry and tempting, but the porous sandstone absorbs water from all angles during rain, and internal moisture will still be present after only hours of drying.
  • The grassy landings and forest floor around the boulders serve as a useful field indicator — if the ground is still damp, the rock almost certainly retains internal moisture.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb today — the Fell Sandstone has had no dry days to recover from repeated recent rain and will be structurally weakened internally even if surfaces appear dry.
  • Climbing on damp Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds and routes; the NMC ethic of 'Love the rocks' applies here above all else.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 1.2mm of rain today on top of 4.4mm on 3rd April and 2.5mm on 4th April, and no consecutive dry days in the recent period, the Fell Sandstone is almost certainly carrying significant internal moisture despite any surface drying.

Drying Analysis

Although strong winds (54 km/h) are blowing today, Dovehole's sheltered woodland position dramatically reduces effective wind speed at the rock surface, and the south-facing aspect provides limited solar benefit given the intermittent precipitation pattern — effective drying has barely begun.

Structural Risk

With repeated wetting over the past week and likely internal saturation well above the 1% threshold for significant strength loss, hold breakage risk is elevated and climbing would risk permanent damage to the sandstone.

Seasonal Factors

Early spring in Northumberland means moderate temperatures (~7°C today) and limited solar intensity, both of which slow drying; the 50.3mm accumulated over 28 days reflects a typically wet late-winter/early-spring pattern that keeps background moisture levels high.

Contributing Factors 7
Rain today and recent days
95%

1.2mm today following 2.5mm yesterday and 4.4mm on April 3rd means the rock has been repeatedly wetted with zero consecutive dry days.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

Despite 54 km/h regional winds, the forest clearing shields the boulders from effective airflow, severely limiting wind-assisted drying.

Cumulative monthly precipitation
85%

50.3mm over 28 days indicates a persistently wet period that keeps background rock moisture elevated even between individual rain events.

South-facing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing receives the best available solar radiation, which partially offsets the sheltered position and aids surface drying.

Moderate temperatures
80%

Temperatures around 7°C are above freezing but not warm enough to drive rapid evaporation from porous sandstone.

Humidity at 70%
80%

Humidity is moderate at 70%, neither severely impeding nor greatly aiding evaporation from the rock surface.

Freeze-thaw risk minimal
65%

Overnight lows of 1.3°C are close to freezing but daytime temperatures stay well above, and the rock is unlikely to be critically saturated enough for major freeze-thaw damage today.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least 2 full dry days (48 hours without precipitation) before visiting — the forecast suggests April 6th onward may begin a drying window but confirmation is needed.
  • On arrival, check the ground around the base of the boulders: if the grass and soil are damp, the sandstone is certainly still wet internally regardless of surface appearance.
  • If conditions improve later this week, prioritise the steepest overhanging problems first as these will dry quickest, and avoid any slabby or lower-angle faces which retain moisture longest.
Do Not Climb 92%
9 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
92%
confidence

Dovehole received 6.2mm of rain today (April 4th) on top of 4.4mm yesterday, making the rock clearly wet and unsuitable for climbing. The sheltered woodland setting will slow drying despite the south-facing aspect, and at least 48 hours of dry weather is needed before conditions can be reassessed.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting significantly reduces airflow at rock level despite strong regional winds, meaning the sheltered boulders will retain moisture longer than the weather station wind data might suggest.
  • The standalone boulders have relatively low mass, which can aid drying compared to large cliff faces, but the surrounding trees and forest floor hold ambient humidity higher than open crags.
  • Steeply overhanging faces on some boulders may have stayed dry during lighter showers, but the 6.2mm today and 4.4mm yesterday will have wet even sheltered surfaces through splash and wind-driven rain.
  • The grassy landings and forest floor act as a useful moisture indicator — if the ground is damp on arrival, the rock is almost certainly still holding internal moisture.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds — the NMC 'Love the rocks' ethic must be respected.
  • The rock surface may appear dry while still holding dangerous levels of internal moisture — do not rely on visual assessment alone; check the ground and touch-test holds.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 6.2mm today and 4.4mm yesterday totalling over 10mm in 48 hours, the porous Fell Sandstone will be saturated or near-saturated, with significant internal moisture even if surfaces begin to dry.

Drying Analysis

Despite strong SW winds (43 km/h today), the sheltered woodland position means effective wind speed at the boulders is much lower; combined with 76% humidity and only ~10°C temperatures, meaningful drying has not yet begun.

Structural Risk

At current moisture levels the rock will have lost 10–50% of its compressive strength, and climbing would risk hold breakage and permanent surface degradation on the fine-grained sandy holds.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland brings cool temperatures and moderate humidity that slow drying; the recent pattern of repeated small rain events (March 27–April 4) means the rock has had little opportunity to fully dry out over the past week.

Contributing Factors 7
Heavy rain today
95%

6.2mm of precipitation today ensures the rock is thoroughly wet, with capillary absorption saturating the porous sandstone within hours.

Rain yesterday too
95%

4.4mm fell on April 3rd, meaning the rock was already damp before today's rain added further saturation.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

Despite strong regional winds, the forest clearing shields the boulders from effective airflow, significantly slowing evaporative drying.

South-facing clearing aspect
75%

The south-facing opening allows good solar radiation during daytime, which will help once skies clear and rain stops.

Repeated recent rainfall
90%

16.8mm over the past 7 days across multiple events means the rock has had no extended dry period to fully recover.

Cool spring temperatures
80%

Average temperatures around 7–10°C provide only moderate evaporative potential, extending drying times compared to summer conditions.

Strong winds forecast tomorrow
65%

40.7 km/h winds forecast for April 5th will help begin the drying process, though the sheltered setting limits their effectiveness at rock level.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — the rock is wet and climbing would damage the sandstone and risk hold breakage.
  • Wait until at least April 7th before visiting, allowing two full dry days after the last significant rain, and check the ground at the base of the boulders on arrival.
  • If visiting mid-week, prioritise the steepest overhanging problems which dry fastest, but still perform a touch-test on holds before committing.
Do Not Climb 70%
10 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
70%
confidence

Today has seen 2.4mm of rain on already-moist Fell Sandstone, with 8.7mm over the past 7 days and no consecutive dry days. Despite the south-facing clearing and decent winds, the sheltered woodland setting and ongoing precipitation mean the rock is almost certainly damp internally and should not be climbed today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Dovehole's woodland setting creates a sheltered microclimate that significantly retards drying despite the south-facing clearing — wind penetration to the boulders is reduced compared to open crags.
  • The standalone boulders have all-round exposure meaning some faces will be wetter than others; south-facing overhanging faces dry fastest but vertical and north-facing sides will hold moisture much longer.
  • The near-perfect grassy landings are a useful field indicator — if the grass and soil at boulder bases are damp, the rock is almost certainly still wet internally.
  • With 51.2mm over the past 28 days including heavy rain on March 12th, the cumulative moisture loading on these porous boulders has been significant through this wet spring period.
Warnings 3
  • Fell Sandstone loses significant strength at just 1% saturation — surface-dry rock can still be dangerously weak internally after recent rain.
  • Climbing on damp sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds and routes at this irreplaceable venue.
  • Near-freezing overnight temperatures combined with internal moisture create freeze-thaw damage risk even without climbing.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 2.4mm of rain today, 4.3mm on April 1st, and 1.7mm on March 29th — plus zero consecutive dry days — the porous Fell Sandstone is almost certainly holding significant internal moisture despite any surface drying.

Drying Analysis

Although SW winds have been moderate to strong (28–36 km/h), the sheltered woodland position reduces effective wind speed at the boulders, and humidity averaging 72% over the past week limits evaporation rates, meaning drying has been slow and repeatedly interrupted.

Structural Risk

At current moisture levels the rock is likely weakened by 10–30%+ with real risk of grain loosening and hold breakage on the fine-grained sandstone, making climbing both dangerous and damaging.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in Northumberland is still transitional with cool temperatures (averaging ~7°C), and while freeze-thaw risk is diminishing, overnight sub-zero temperatures (e.g. -0.1°C on April 2nd) on moisture-laden rock could cause additional damage.

Contributing Factors 6
Rain today and recent days
95%

2.4mm today with no consecutive dry days — the rock has had no opportunity for sustained drying.

Sheltered woodland setting
85%

The forest position significantly reduces wind exposure at the boulders, slowing evaporation despite strong regional winds.

South-facing clearing aspect
75%

The south-facing clearing provides reasonable solar radiation during spring days, aiding surface drying on exposed faces.

Moderate wind and humidity
80%

Regional winds of 28 km/h SW are decent but humidity at 77% today limits evaporative potential, and shelter reduces effective wind at rock level.

Cumulative wet spring period
85%

51.2mm over 28 days with frequent interruptions means the sandstone has been repeatedly re-wetted without time to dry thoroughly.

Near-freezing overnight temps
70%

Overnight lows near or below 0°C (e.g. -0.1°C on April 2nd) on moisture-laden rock create freeze-thaw damage risk.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — wait for at least two consecutive dry days with low humidity before visiting.
  • Check the grass and soil at the base of the boulders as a field test: if the ground is damp, the rock is certainly too wet internally.
  • Focus on the steep overhanging problems first when conditions do improve, as these shed water faster and dry more quickly than vertical or slabby faces.

Climbing Outlook

Today 14 Apr
Do Not Climb 35%
Tue 14 Apr
Do Not Climb 80%
Wed 15 Apr
Do Not Climb 75%
Thu 16 Apr
Do Not Climb 55%
Fri 17 Apr
Marginal 50%
Sat 18 Apr
Do Not Climb 50%

Analysis Calendar

April 2026