CountyEthics

Ravensheugh

Sandstone · Exposed exposure · 400m altitude

Do not climb

Condition Analysis

AI-powered assessment using site data and 14-day weather history

1d ago
Today
Do Not Climb
93%
confidence

Ravensheugh is thoroughly saturated after a prolonged wet spell — 56.9mm over the last 28 days with rain on most of the last 10 days, and no meaningful dry window. The NW aspect at 400m, combined with high humidity and cool temperatures, means the rock has had virtually no opportunity to dry internally; climbing today or in the coming days would risk permanent damage to holds and routes.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect receives almost no direct sunlight, which dramatically slows evaporation — drying times here can be double those of south-facing Fell Sandstone crags.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes it especially costly to arrive and find wet rock; checking conditions remotely or via local contacts before committing is strongly advised.
  • At 400m altitude, the crag frequently sits in low cloud and hill fog, which maintains near-100% humidity at the rock surface and effectively halts drying even on nominally rain-free days.
  • The exposed position means SW winds (dominant recently) blow directly onto the NW face, potentially driving moisture into the rock rather than drying it.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on saturated Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible hold breakage — the rock has been continuously wetted for over a week and internal moisture is at dangerous levels.
  • The surface may appear dry during brief sunny spells while the interior remains heavily saturated — do not trust surface appearance alone at this crag given recent conditions.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is almost certainly saturated internally: rain fell on 8 of the last 10 days totalling over 30mm, with today adding another 1.5mm, and average humidity of 81% has prevented meaningful evaporation.

Drying Analysis

Despite the exposed position, the NW aspect receives negligible direct sun and the prevailing SW winds have been accompanied by persistent high humidity (75–92%), so effective drying has been minimal — the longest dry gap was only about 36 hours (June 13–14) amid continued high humidity.

Structural Risk

With prolonged saturation over weeks, internal moisture levels are likely well above the critical thresholds for significant compressive strength loss (32% average), making hold breakage a serious and immediate risk.

Seasonal Factors

Early June at 400m in Northumberland is still cool (averaging only 10°C over the last week), which substantially slows evaporation; conditions are behaving more like late spring than summer.

Contributing Factors 7
Prolonged recent rainfall
95%

Over 30mm of rain in the last 10 days across 8 separate rain days has kept the rock in a near-continuously wetted state.

No meaningful dry window
93%

The longest rain-free period in the last two weeks was roughly 36 hours (June 13–14), far short of the 48–72+ hours needed after heavy cumulative rain.

High ambient humidity
92%

Average humidity of 81% over the last week severely limits evaporative drying, and today's hourly data shows humidity at 76–98% throughout.

NW aspect at 400m
94%

The north-west facing aspect receives minimal direct sunlight, and 400m altitude means cooler temperatures and frequent low cloud, both of which drastically slow drying.

Exposed wind position
75%

While the exposed position could aid drying, the prevailing SW winds at high humidity have limited benefit and may even drive moisture onto the NW-facing rock surface.

Cool temperatures
90%

The 7-day average of only 10°C significantly slows evaporation compared to warmer summer conditions.

Forecast rain continues
88%

The 5-day forecast shows rain every day (0.4–3.0mm), meaning no drying window is expected in the coming week.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh until there has been a sustained dry spell of at least 3–4 consecutive dry days with humidity below 75% — the current forecast suggests this is unlikely before late June at the earliest.
  • Consider lower-altitude, south-facing alternatives or non-porous rock types (e.g. Whin Sill venues like Crag Lough or Great Wanney) which are far less moisture-sensitive.
  • If you do walk in to check conditions, apply the ground-moisture test: if the soil and vegetation at the crag base are damp, the rock is certainly still wet internally regardless of surface appearance.

Previous Analyses

Do Not Climb 92%
2 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
92%
confidence

Ravensheugh is clearly too wet to climb on. The past two weeks have seen repeated rainfall totalling over 55mm with almost no consecutive dry days, and further rain is forecast every day through to June 20th — the NW-facing, 400m-altitude rock will be thoroughly saturated internally despite any brief surface drying.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives virtually no direct sun, meaning internal moisture from the prolonged wet spell since early June will persist far longer than at lower, south-facing Fell Sandstone venues.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes condition-checking costly — turning back after discovering damp rock wastes significant time, so erring on the side of caution is especially important here.
  • The crag sits within an SSSI; repeated wet climbing on this high-quality venue would cause permanent damage to some of Northumberland's finest routes.
  • SW winds have dominated the weather pattern but blow onto the NW face, potentially driving moisture into the rock rather than drying it efficiently.
Warnings 2
  • The rock is almost certainly saturated internally despite any dry surface appearance — climbing now risks permanent hold breakage on irreplaceable routes.
  • The 45-minute approach means rescue is slow; wet, weakened holds increase the chance of a serious fall on this technical crag.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 18mm in the last 7 days, 55mm in the last 28 days, rain on 8 of the last 10 days, and zero consecutive dry days, the rock is almost certainly saturated well beyond the critical thresholds for strength loss.

Drying Analysis

Despite moderate wind exposure, the NW aspect at 400m receives minimal direct sun and the persistent high humidity (80% average over 7 days) severely limits evaporative drying; no meaningful drying window has occurred since the wet spell began on June 1st.

Structural Risk

With the rock likely at or near full saturation from weeks of repeated wetting, compressive strength is reduced by an estimated 30–50%, making hold breakage a serious risk on Ravensheugh's technical wall climbing.

Seasonal Factors

Although it is nominally summer, temperatures have been well below average (9.7°C mean over the past week) and the persistent westerly rain pattern shows no sign of breaking, meaning conditions resemble a cool autumn spell rather than typical June drying weather.

Contributing Factors 7
Prolonged repeated rainfall
95%

Rain has fallen on 8 of the last 10 days totalling 18mm in the past week and 55mm over 28 days, with no drying window longer than two consecutive dry days since late May.

NW aspect minimal sun
95%

The NW-facing scarp receives almost no direct solar radiation, drastically slowing evaporative drying compared to south-facing crags.

High altitude cool temperatures
90%

At 400m with an average temperature of only 9.7°C over the past week, evaporation rates are very low for June.

Persistent high humidity
90%

Average humidity of 80% over the last 7 days leaves very little vapour pressure gradient to drive moisture out of the rock.

Exposed wind helps drying
80%

The crag's exposed position receives consistent 15–30 km/h winds which aid surface drying, though this is insufficient to overcome the other negative factors.

Continued rain forecast
85%

Rain is forecast every day from June 16–20 (totalling 13mm), meaning no drying window is available in the next five days.

Today's rain arriving tonight
85%

Although today is dry until approximately 20:00, 1.5mm of rain this evening adds further moisture to already-saturated rock.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not visit Ravensheugh until you see at least 3–4 consecutive fully dry days with temperatures above 15°C and humidity below 70% — this is unlikely before late June at the earliest.
  • If you need to climb this week, consider non-porous alternatives such as the Whin Sill crags (Great Wanney, Crag Lough) which can be climbed when wet without structural damage, though care is still needed for friction.
  • Monitor the forecast closely; the first realistic window may open after June 21st if the dry day forecast holds and extends, but even then assess the base of the crag carefully before committing.
Do Not Climb 88%
3 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
88%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received nearly 20mm of rain in the last 7 days across multiple events, with the most recent precipitation (3.2mm) only two days ago on June 12th. Given the NW aspect at 400m, high humidity averaging 79%, and cool temperatures averaging just 9.9°C, the rock will still be holding significant internal moisture despite two dry days — this is nowhere near sufficient drying time for this venue.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives almost no direct sun, meaning evaporation relies almost entirely on wind — SE winds today and tomorrow blow into the face but do not efficiently strip moisture from the NW-facing rock.
  • The prolonged wet spell from June 1–12 deposited over 50mm across repeated events with barely any dry breaks, meaning deep saturation has built up cumulatively — far worse than a single rain event.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes it especially costly to arrive and find damp rock; conditions should be confidently dry before committing to the approach.
  • At 400m altitude, cloud base can sit on or below the crag in these conditions, adding direct moisture contact beyond rainfall alone.
Warnings 3
  • The rock surface may appear dry while the interior remains deeply saturated from cumulative rainfall — do not be deceived by surface appearance.
  • Climbing on wet Fell Sandstone causes permanent, irreversible damage to holds and route quality at this premier venue.
  • Incoming rain on June 15–16 will reset drying progress; do not plan visits based on today's dry weather alone.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Multiple rain events totalling 19.2mm over the past week with only two dry days since the last 3.2mm on June 12th means the rock is almost certainly still saturated internally, especially given the cumulative 50mm+ over the preceding fortnight.

Drying Analysis

Two dry days with moderate wind (25–30 km/h W/NW) provide some surface drying, but with humidity at 75–77% and temperatures only 12–14°C on a NW-facing crag at 400m, internal drying will be negligibly slow — this crag needs at minimum 3–4 consecutive dry days after this kind of prolonged soaking.

Structural Risk

With deep cumulative saturation from repeated wetting events, compressive strength will be significantly reduced throughout the rock mass; climbing risks hold breakage and permanent surface damage to this premier venue.

Seasonal Factors

Early June temperatures are running well below seasonal average at this altitude, slowing drying considerably; the persistent wet pattern resembles spring conditions more than summer.

Contributing Factors 6
Prolonged cumulative rainfall
92%

Over 50mm in the last 28 days with repeated wetting events from June 1–12 has deeply saturated the porous Fell Sandstone beyond what surface drying can address.

Insufficient drying time
90%

Only two consecutive dry days since the last rain on June 12th, far short of the 3–4+ days this NW-facing, high-altitude crag requires after heavy cumulative rainfall.

Cool temperatures and high humidity
88%

Average temperature of just 9.9°C and humidity of 79% over the past week severely limit evaporation rates, keeping internal moisture locked in.

NW aspect at 400m
90%

The north-west facing scarp receives minimal direct sunlight, removing solar heating as a drying mechanism and leaving the crag reliant on wind alone.

Exposed to wind
70%

High wind exposure (17–29 km/h recently) is the one positive drying factor, but with prevailing SE/NW winds the NW face is not always optimally ventilated.

Forecast rain tomorrow
82%

1.9mm forecast for June 15th and 6.6mm on June 16th will reset any drying progress and re-wet the already saturated rock.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh today — the rock is almost certainly still holding dangerous levels of internal moisture from the prolonged wet spell.
  • Wait for at least 3–4 consecutive fully dry days with humidity below 75% before attempting the walk-in; given the forecast, this is unlikely before June 20th at the earliest.
  • Consider lower-altitude, south-facing alternatives or non-porous rock venues in the region while Ravensheugh dries out.
Do Not Climb 90%
4 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received nearly 20mm of rain in the last 7 days across multiple events, with the most recent rainfall (3.2mm) only yesterday. At 400m, NW-facing, with average temperatures of just 10°C and humidity averaging 80%, the rock will be thoroughly saturated internally and has had virtually no drying time — conditions are clearly unsafe for climbing on Fell Sandstone.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m means it receives almost no direct sunlight, making it one of the slowest-drying Fell Sandstone venues in Northumberland — the crag description itself advises 1–2 extra dry days beyond normal guidelines.
  • The prolonged wet spell from June 1–12 (over 50mm across 10 of 12 days) will have deeply saturated the rock well beyond surface level, requiring an extended dry spell to recover.
  • The 45-minute approach makes it especially costly to arrive and find damp rock — checking conditions remotely before committing is critical at this venue.
  • SE winds on June 14–15 will blow directly onto the NW face, potentially bringing moist air and slowing evaporation from the rock surface.
Warnings 3
  • Fell Sandstone loses up to 50% of its compressive strength when wet — holds that feel solid when dry can snap off without warning, risking serious injury and permanent route damage.
  • The rock surface may appear dry while the interior remains saturated; do not be deceived by a dry-looking surface after only 1–2 days of drying.
  • Repeated wet climbing on Fell Sandstone causes irreversible erosion and hold loss — this is one of the UK's finest sandstone venues and damage is permanent.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 19.8mm in the last 7 days spread across at least 6 rain events and only 1 dry day since the last rainfall of 3.2mm on June 12, the rock is almost certainly saturated well above the critical 1% threshold at which significant weakening begins.

Drying Analysis

Despite exposed wind conditions (29 km/h today from the W), only one dry day has elapsed since the last rain, temperatures are cool (~13°C), and humidity remains high (73–81%) — wholly insufficient drying for a NW-facing crag at 400m that needs 48–72+ hours of good drying conditions after heavy rain.

Structural Risk

The cumulative 53.7mm over the past 28 days with repeated wetting cycles poses a serious risk of hold breakage on the iron-oxide-cemented features that define Ravensheugh's routes, and climbing now would accelerate permanent erosion damage.

Seasonal Factors

Although it is nominally summer, temperatures have been well below seasonal norms (averaging just 10°C over the last week) with persistent high humidity, meaning drying rates are closer to spring or even late-autumn conditions.

Contributing Factors 6
Repeated recent rainfall events
95%

Rain fell on at least 6 of the last 7 days totalling 19.8mm, with the most recent 3.2mm falling just yesterday (June 12), leaving the rock deeply and repeatedly saturated.

Only one dry day elapsed
95%

Just one dry day since the last rain is far short of the minimum 48–72 hours needed after heavy rain on Fell Sandstone, let alone the extra 1–2 days this NW-facing venue requires.

NW aspect minimal sun
90%

The NW-facing aspect receives almost no direct solar radiation, drastically slowing evaporation compared to south-facing crags.

Cool temperatures and high humidity
90%

Average temperature of 10.2°C and 80% humidity over the last week severely limit evaporation rates, keeping internal moisture locked in the porous sandstone.

Exposed wind helps drying
75%

The exposed position with winds of 20–35 km/h provides meaningful surface drying, but this alone cannot compensate for the volume of recent rain, cool temperatures, and high humidity.

High altitude cloud exposure
70%

At 400m the crag is frequently enveloped in low cloud and mist, adding surface moisture and further impeding drying even on nominally dry days.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh today or in the next few days — the rock is almost certainly saturated internally despite any surface drying.
  • Wait for a sustained dry spell of at least 3–4 consecutive dry days with humidity below 75% and temperatures above 14°C before considering a visit.
  • Given the 45-minute approach, consider checking social media or UKClimbing forums for recent condition reports before committing to the walk-in.
Do Not Climb 92%
5 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
92%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received persistent rain over the past 10 days (~50mm cumulative since June 1st) with virtually no consecutive dry days, and today still saw 0.4mm — at 400m on a NW-facing aspect with recent humidity averaging 81%, the rock will be thoroughly saturated internally despite any surface drying. The forecast offers no meaningful dry window over the next five days, with further rain expected on most days.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives almost no direct sun, meaning internal moisture from the prolonged wet spell (50mm in 28 days) will persist far longer than at lower, south-facing Fell Sandstone crags.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes an abortive trip especially costly — conditions should be confirmed as genuinely dry before committing to the approach.
  • The exposed position does aid wind-driven evaporation, but recent winds have been predominantly SW (blowing across rather than onto the NW face), and high humidity (81% average) severely limits evaporative drying.
  • The crag's steep technical walls and iron-oxide holds are particularly vulnerable to grain loosening when wet — climbing on subtly damp rock here risks permanent hold breakage on irreplaceable routes.
Warnings 3
  • The rock surface may appear dry while remaining deeply saturated internally — do not be deceived by surface appearance after such a prolonged wet period.
  • Overnight lows of 1.6°C forecast for June 15th at 400m altitude could cause freeze-thaw damage to saturated rock, compounding the structural risk.
  • The 45-minute approach means conditions cannot be easily re-checked — verify with local climbers or online forums before committing to the walk-in.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 19.1mm in the last 7 days spread across multiple events and no consecutive dry days, the rock is almost certainly saturated well beyond the critical threshold at which significant strength loss occurs.

Drying Analysis

Despite the exposed position offering some wind-assisted drying, the NW aspect, 400m altitude, average temps of only ~10°C, and persistent 80%+ humidity mean evaporation has been minimal — the rock has had no meaningful drying window since the wet spell began around June 1st.

Structural Risk

With probable saturation levels well above the 1% threshold for significant weakening, there is a high risk of hold breakage and grain loosening, particularly on the technical wall routes that rely on small iron-oxide features.

Seasonal Factors

Early June at 400m in Northumberland is still cool with long daylight but temperatures are running below seasonal average (~10°C), slowing drying considerably; overnight lows near freezing forecast for June 15th could introduce freeze-thaw risk if internal moisture remains high.

Contributing Factors 6
Prolonged recent rainfall
95%

Over 50mm in the past 28 days with 19mm in the last 7 days alone, spread across nearly every day, has left the sandstone deeply saturated.

Zero consecutive dry days
93%

There have been no consecutive fully dry days since May 31st, preventing any meaningful drying cycle from completing.

NW aspect at 400m
90%

The north-west facing aspect receives minimal direct sunlight, and the 400m altitude brings cooler temperatures and frequent cloud, both of which dramatically slow drying.

High ambient humidity
88%

Average humidity of 81% over the past week severely limits evaporative drying even when it isn't actively raining.

Exposed wind position
80%

The exposed hilltop position with winds of 20–35 km/h provides the only meaningful drying mechanism, but this is insufficient to overcome the other negative factors.

Ongoing forecast rain
85%

Light rain is forecast on most days through June 17th (total 8.5mm), preventing any sustained drying window from developing.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh until a sustained dry spell of at least 3–4 consecutive dry days with low humidity occurs — given the NW aspect and altitude, the standard 2-day rule is insufficient after this level of saturation.
  • Consider lower-altitude, south-facing alternatives in Northumberland (e.g. Kyloe-in or Bowden Doors) which will dry significantly faster if a brief window opens.
  • If you do make the walk-in to check conditions, test the ground at the crag base and look for any darkened rock or damp patches in cracks before touching the routes.
Do Not Climb 92%
6 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
92%
confidence

Ravensheugh is currently receiving rain today (7.1mm) on top of nearly 20mm in the last 7 days and over 50mm in the last 28 days. The NW-facing aspect at 400m, combined with persistently high humidity (~81% average), means the rock is thoroughly saturated internally and will need multiple dry days before it is safe to climb.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives virtually no direct sun, so drying relies almost entirely on wind and ambient temperature — expect significantly longer drying times than south-facing Fell Sandstone venues.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes condition-checking costly; given the prolonged wet spell, it would be particularly frustrating to arrive and find seeping rock — phone local climbers or check UKC logs before committing.
  • The crag has been subjected to repeated wetting over the past 10 days (rain on 7 of the last 10 days totalling ~26mm), meaning deep internal saturation is likely even once the surface appears dry.
  • The exposed position means the strong westerly winds forecast for June 12–13 (30–35 km/h) will help surface drying considerably, but internal moisture at this porosity and aspect will persist longer.
Warnings 2
  • Fell Sandstone loses up to 50% of its compressive strength when wet — climbing now risks breaking irreplaceable holds and permanent route damage.
  • The rock surface may appear dry before the interior has dried; after this prolonged wet spell, do not trust surface appearance alone — check ground moisture at the crag base.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 7.1mm of rain today, 19.4mm in the last 7 days, and rain on 7 of the last 10 days, the rock is deeply and thoroughly saturated well beyond the critical thresholds for strength loss.

Drying Analysis

Drying has been negligible over the past week due to repeated rainfall, high humidity (81% average), cool temperatures (~10°C average), and the NW aspect receiving no direct sun; even with strong winds forecast from tomorrow, at least 48–72 hours of continuous dry weather is needed before surface drying becomes meaningful.

Structural Risk

The cumulative saturation from prolonged rainfall creates severe hold-breakage risk — at these moisture levels Fell Sandstone loses 30%+ of its compressive strength, and the iron oxide holds climbers depend on are especially vulnerable.

Seasonal Factors

Early June should offer improving conditions, but this has been an unusually wet spell with below-average temperatures for the season, negating the typical summer drying advantage.

Contributing Factors 7
Heavy rain today
95%

7.1mm of rain falling today, predominantly mid-morning through early afternoon, is actively wetting the rock surface and replenishing internal moisture.

Prolonged wet spell
93%

Rain on 7 of the last 10 days totalling ~26mm means the sandstone has had no opportunity to begin meaningful internal drying.

High ambient humidity
90%

Average humidity of 81% over the last week severely limits evaporative drying potential even during dry intervals.

NW aspect no direct sun
95%

The NW-facing orientation receives negligible direct solar radiation, removing the most effective drying mechanism for rock surfaces.

Exposed windy position
85%

The exposed hilltop location with strong SW/W winds (20–35 km/h forecast) will significantly aid surface evaporation once rain stops.

Cool temperatures
88%

Average temperatures around 10°C over the past week are below seasonal norms and slow evaporation rates considerably.

Dry forecast from tomorrow
80%

A dry window of 3–4 days from June 12 with dropping humidity (66–70%) and strong winds will begin the drying process.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh today or for at least the next 48 hours — the rock is thoroughly saturated and climbing risks permanent damage to holds and routes.
  • Monitor conditions for June 14–15 as potential assess-conditions days; the combination of 3 dry days, strong wind, and slightly warmer temperatures may bring some areas into climbable condition by then.
  • If visiting the Simonside area, consider whether any south-facing, lower-altitude alternatives might dry more quickly, and always check the base of the crag for damp ground as a proxy for internal rock moisture.
Do Not Climb 95%
8 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
95%
confidence

Ravensheugh is thoroughly saturated after a prolonged wet spell — over 25mm in the last 7 days across multiple rain events, with further rain today and forecast through June 11. The NW aspect at 400m, combined with high humidity and cool temperatures, means meaningful drying has not occurred and will not begin until June 12 at the earliest.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives minimal direct sun, so it relies almost entirely on wind and ambient warmth for drying — expect drying to take 1–2 extra days compared to south-facing Fell Sandstone venues.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes it especially important to confirm conditions before setting out; a wasted trip here is more costly than at roadside crags.
  • The crag sits in an SSSI (Simonside Hills) and repeated wet climbing on this high-quality Fell Sandstone would cause irreversible damage to some of Northumberland's best routes.
  • Seepage can persist at the base of the steep scarp long after rain stops, particularly where drainage from the hillside above feeds into cracks and horizontal breaks.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing today or in the next few days risks permanent hold breakage on some of Northumberland's finest routes — the sandstone is likely at or near critical saturation.
  • Surface-dry appearance can be deceptive on Fell Sandstone: the interior may remain saturated for days after the surface feels dry, especially on a shaded NW face at altitude.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is almost certainly saturated internally: 25.3mm fell in the last 7 days across at least five separate rain events (June 1–4, 6–9), with no consecutive dry day to begin drying, and today is adding another 3.2mm.

Drying Analysis

Despite the exposed position offering some wind-assisted drying, the NW aspect, 400m altitude, average temperature of only 10.5°C, and average humidity of 82% over the past week mean net evaporation has been negligible between rain events.

Structural Risk

With repeated wetting over the past 10 days and no meaningful drying interval, the sandstone is likely at or near critical saturation, meaning compressive strength is reduced by up to 30–50% and holds are at serious risk of breakage.

Seasonal Factors

Early June should offer improving conditions, but this particular spell has been unusually cool and wet for the season; temperatures are well below seasonal norms and the pattern only breaks around June 12.

Contributing Factors 7
Prolonged multi-day rainfall
97%

Over 25mm across five separate rain events in the last 7 days with no consecutive dry day, ensuring the rock has been repeatedly re-wetted before any drying could occur.

Rain continuing today
95%

Today's forecast shows 3.2mm of scattered showers throughout the day, adding further moisture to already saturated rock.

NW aspect minimal sun
95%

The north-west facing scarp receives very little direct sunlight, removing the most effective drying mechanism and prolonging internal moisture retention.

High humidity 82% average
90%

Average humidity of 82% over the past week severely limits evaporative drying, keeping the rock's surface moisture film intact.

Cool temperatures at altitude
90%

Average temperature of only 10.5°C at 400m altitude slows evaporation and internal moisture migration significantly.

Exposed wind position
80%

The exposed hilltop position provides consistent wind which will assist drying once rainfall ceases, but has been insufficient to counteract the repeated wetting.

Forecast rain June 10–11
85%

A further 10.8mm is forecast on June 10–11, which will reset any drying progress and extend the wait time by at least another 2–3 days.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not visit Ravensheugh until at least June 14 — the rock needs a minimum of 48–72 hours of dry weather after the last rain on June 11, and the NW aspect at altitude demands extra caution.
  • If considering a mid-week visit around June 14, check ground conditions at the crag base first: if soil and vegetation are still damp, the rock is certainly too wet internally.
  • Consider south-facing, lower-altitude Fell Sandstone alternatives (e.g. Kyloe) which will dry significantly faster once the rain stops on June 12.
Do Not Climb 93%
9 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
93%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received over 32mm of rain in the last 7 days across multiple events, with rain falling today and more forecast for the next two days. At 400m on a NW-facing aspect with average temperatures only around 11°C and humidity consistently above 80%, the rock will be thoroughly saturated with no realistic drying window in the near term.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives virtually no direct sun, meaning drying relies almost entirely on wind and ambient conditions — allow at least 1–2 extra dry days beyond the standard guideline.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes condition-checking costly; with this much recent rain it is not worth the approach until a clear drying window opens.
  • The crag sits on the steep scarp of Tosson Hill, so drainage from the hillside above can cause prolonged seepage even after rain stops, particularly at the base of routes.
  • As an SSSI and one of Northumberland's premier Fell Sandstone venues, climbing on damp rock here risks permanent damage to irreplaceable routes on this nationally important geological site.
Warnings 2
  • Climbing on Ravensheugh now risks permanent hold breakage and route damage — the rock is saturated and structurally compromised.
  • The surface may begin to appear dry before the interior has dried; do not be deceived by surface appearance after such prolonged wetting.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 32.3mm over the past 7 days culminating in rain today (4.2mm), the rock is almost certainly saturated throughout, well above the critical ~1% water content at which significant weakening begins.

Drying Analysis

Despite the exposed position providing wind, the NW aspect, 400m altitude, ~11°C average temperatures, and persistently high humidity (83% average over the last week) mean evaporative drying has been negligible between rain events.

Structural Risk

At this saturation level, compressive strength is likely reduced by 30–50%, making hold breakage and grain loosening a serious risk — climbing now would damage the rock.

Seasonal Factors

Early June at 400m in Northumberland can still produce cool, damp conditions; this period has been notably unsettled and temperatures are well below seasonal norms, further inhibiting drying.

Contributing Factors 6
Prolonged heavy recent rainfall
95%

Over 32mm in 7 days across multiple events (June 1–4 alone delivered ~31mm), with additional rain today, keeping the rock continuously saturated.

NW aspect minimal sun
95%

The NW-facing scarp receives almost no direct solar radiation, removing the most effective drying mechanism and leaving wind as the primary driver.

High altitude cool temperatures
90%

At 400m with average temps around 11°C, evaporation rates are low and the rock has had virtually no effective drying between rain events.

Persistent high humidity
90%

Average humidity of 83% over the past week severely limits net evaporation from the rock surface even when it is not raining.

Exposed wind position
85%

The exposed hilltop position with sustained winds (~20–28 km/h) is the one factor aiding drying, but it cannot compensate for the continuous re-wetting.

More rain forecast
85%

Rain is forecast for June 9 (5.8mm) and June 10 (5.7mm), further resetting any drying progress before a potential dry window on June 11.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not visit Ravensheugh until at least 2–3 consecutive fully dry days with humidity below 75% have elapsed — the earliest realistic window is June 13 at the earliest, and even then conditions should be visually assessed.
  • Given the 45-minute walk-in, check online condition reports or contact local climbers before committing to the approach.
  • If you must climb this week, consider a south-facing, lower-altitude, non-porous alternative such as a whinstone or limestone venue.
Do Not Climb 95%
10 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
95%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received over 34mm of rain in the last 7 days across multiple events, with further rain today and no consecutive dry days — the rock will be thoroughly saturated internally. The NW aspect at 400m, combined with high humidity (86% average) and cool temperatures (~11°C), means drying has been negligible and conditions are clearly unsuitable for climbing.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect receives virtually no direct sun, so evaporative drying relies almost entirely on wind and ambient temperature — both of which have been inadequate given the persistent high humidity.
  • At 400m altitude the crag is frequently in low cloud and hill fog during unsettled spells, which can deposit additional moisture even between recorded rain events.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes an aborted visit especially costly — verify conditions are genuinely dry before committing to the approach.
  • Seepage from the hillside above (Tosson Hill) can persist for days after heavy rain, keeping the base of routes wet long after the face appears to have dried.
Warnings 3
  • Fell Sandstone loses up to 50% of its compressive strength when saturated — climbing now risks permanent hold breakage on irreplaceable routes.
  • The rock surface may begin to appear dry while the interior remains fully saturated; do not be deceived by surface appearance after this volume of rain.
  • Ravensheugh is a premier Fell Sandstone venue and SSSI — climbing on wet rock here causes cumulative, irreversible damage.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Multiple rain events totalling 34mm over the past week — including 5.3mm, 8.7mm, 9.8mm, and 6.9mm on consecutive days (June 1–4) plus further rain on June 6 and today — mean the rock is deeply saturated throughout its pore structure.

Drying Analysis

Zero consecutive dry days, average humidity of 86%, and temperatures averaging only 11.4°C mean that despite the exposed aspect providing some wind, net evaporation has been minimal and nowhere near sufficient to dry porous Fell Sandstone after this volume of rain.

Structural Risk

With the rock likely at or near full saturation, compressive strength is reduced by an estimated 30–50%, making hold breakage a serious risk — climbing now would cause permanent damage to this premier venue.

Seasonal Factors

Early June should offer improving conditions, but this has been an unusually wet and cool spell; the cool temperatures at 400m are slowing drying significantly compared to lowland crags.

Contributing Factors 6
Heavy cumulative rainfall
97%

Over 34mm in the last 7 days across multiple events (June 1–4 alone delivered ~31mm), deeply saturating the porous sandstone.

No dry period since rain
95%

Zero consecutive dry days — rain fell on June 6 (2.1mm) and again today (1.3mm), preventing any meaningful drying window.

Very high humidity
92%

Average humidity of 86% over the past week severely limits evaporative drying, even with wind exposure.

Cool temperatures at altitude
90%

Average temperature of only 11.4°C at 400m altitude slows evaporation and extends drying time considerably.

NW aspect limits solar drying
95%

The north-west facing aspect receives minimal direct sunlight, removing the most effective drying mechanism for porous rock.

Exposed to wind
80%

The exposed position provides good wind circulation which is the primary drying factor for this crag, though insufficient to overcome the current moisture load.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb at Ravensheugh until there have been at least 3–4 consecutive dry days with humidity consistently below 75% and temperatures above 12°C.
  • Given the 45-minute walk-in, monitor weather forecasts carefully and wait for a clear drying window before committing to the approach.
  • If visiting the Simonside area, consider checking conditions at lower-altitude or south-facing alternatives that dry more quickly.
Do Not Climb 93%
11 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
93%
confidence

Ravensheugh has received over 30mm of rain in the last five days (including 5.7mm today), with high humidity averaging 85% and cool temperatures around 11–13°C at 400m on a NW-facing aspect — the rock will be thoroughly saturated internally. The forecast shows continued rain every day for the next five days, offering no drying window whatsoever.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Ravensheugh's NW aspect at 400m receives almost no direct sun, meaning drying relies heavily on wind and ambient temperature — both of which are currently unfavourable with cool temperatures and high humidity.
  • The 45-minute walk-in makes it especially important to be confident of conditions before setting out; in the current weather pattern there is no realistic chance of finding dry rock.
  • The crag sits on an exposed scarp of Tosson Hill where SW winds do reach the face, but with persistent rain and humidity above 80%, wind-driven evaporation is negligible.
  • After the cumulative ~37mm over the past week, even sheltered overhanging sections will have absorbed significant moisture through capillary action and seepage from above.
Warnings 3
  • Climbing on this saturated Fell Sandstone will cause irreversible hold breakage and permanent route damage — the iron oxide holds are especially fragile when wet.
  • The 45-minute approach means conditions cannot easily be re-assessed; do not gamble on a long walk-in given the current weather pattern.
  • Even if a brief dry spell occurs, the surface may appear dry while the interior remains dangerously saturated — allow a full 72+ hours of dry weather before considering a visit.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 31.4mm falling between June 1–4, a further 5.7mm today, and no meaningful dry spell in between (only one dry day on June 5), the rock is deeply saturated well beyond the critical 1% threshold where significant strength loss begins.

Drying Analysis

The single dry day on June 5 with moderate wind (26 km/h SW) and 71% humidity would have begun surface drying only; at 400m on a NW face with no direct sun and temperatures around 13°C, internal moisture will barely have begun to dissipate before today's rain re-wet the surface.

Structural Risk

With porosity up to 20.7% and prolonged wetting over several days, the Fell Sandstone at Ravensheugh is at serious risk of hold breakage — compressive strength is likely reduced by 30%+ and climbing would cause permanent damage to the iron oxide holds.

Seasonal Factors

Early June at 400m in Northumberland is still cool enough to significantly slow drying; while freeze-thaw risk is minimal at current temperatures (8–13°C overnight), the persistent Atlantic weather pattern is delivering repeated rain with no sustained warm, dry spell in sight.

Contributing Factors 7
Heavy recent rainfall
95%

Over 36mm in the past seven days across multiple rain events has deeply saturated the porous sandstone.

Rain today, no drying
95%

5.7mm today at 91% humidity means zero net evaporation and continued wetting.

NW aspect, no sun
90%

The NW-facing scarp receives minimal direct sunlight, removing the most effective drying mechanism.

High humidity (85% avg)
90%

Average humidity of 85% over the past week severely limits evaporative drying even when it isn't raining.

Cool temperatures at altitude
85%

Average temperatures around 11.5°C at 400m slow the rate of evaporation significantly compared to warmer lowland crags.

Exposed to wind
80%

Wind exposure would normally help drying, but at current humidity levels (80–90%) it moves already-moist air across the surface with minimal evaporative benefit.

Continuous forecast rain
85%

Rain is forecast every day from June 7–11, totalling ~18mm, preventing any meaningful drying window.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not visit Ravensheugh this week — the rock is saturated and the forecast offers no drying window; climbing would risk permanent hold damage.
  • Monitor conditions from mid-June onwards; you will need at least 48–72 hours of dry, breezy weather with humidity below 70% before this crag is climbable.
  • If you must climb this week in Northumberland, consider non-porous alternatives such as whinstone crags (e.g. Crag Lough on the Whin Sill) which are structurally safe when wet, though still slippery.

Climbing Outlook

Today 17 Jun
Do Not Climb 93%
Wed 17 Jun
Do Not Climb 92%
Thu 18 Jun
Do Not Climb 92%
Fri 19 Jun
Do Not Climb 91%
Sat 20 Jun
Do Not Climb 90%
Sun 21 Jun
Do Not Climb 89%

Analysis Calendar

June 2026