CountyEthics

Scout Crag

Rhyolite · Partial exposure · 150m altitude

Do not climb

Condition Analysis

AI-powered assessment using site data and 14-day weather history

1d ago
Today
Do Not Climb
45%
confidence

Scout Crag received nearly 10mm of rain yesterday (April 12) with the last showers falling late in the evening, and today has seen only negligible drying so far with minimal precipitation (0.1mm) but high humidity. While the south-facing BVS rock is non-porous and dries relatively quickly, tree drip from above and the very recent rain mean surfaces are likely still damp, and further heavy rain is forecast from tomorrow.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag causes persistent drips well after rain has stopped — yesterday's 10mm will likely still be feeding seepage and drip lines today, especially on routes beneath vegetation.
  • As a low valley crag at 150m, Scout Crag sits in the humid Langdale valley floor where overnight moisture and morning dew can linger even on nominally dry days.
  • The south-facing aspect will receive some solar warming through the afternoon today (April 13), which could dry exposed faces — but cloud cover and moderate humidity (77%) will limit effectiveness.
  • The last 28 days have seen 267mm of rainfall, meaning the surrounding ground and vegetation are thoroughly saturated, prolonging drip and seepage onto the crag.
Warnings 2
  • Yesterday's late-evening rain and tree drip mean routes directly beneath vegetation are very likely still wet — avoid these entirely.
  • BVS rock loses friction dramatically when damp; even a thin film of moisture can make moves feel insecure, particularly on slabby or friction-dependent routes.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The crag received ~10mm of rain yesterday with showers continuing until late evening (0.5mm at 22:00, 0.3mm at 23:00), and today's 0.1mm trace suggests surfaces have not had a meaningful dry window yet.

Drying Analysis

Only a few hours of light southerly wind (14.8 km/h) and moderate sunshine have been available today; the south-facing aspect helps but humidity at 77% and saturated surroundings limit evaporation, so full surface drying is unlikely by this afternoon.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural weakening when wet — the risk here is purely friction loss on damp surfaces, not hold damage.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District brings short drying windows, high cumulative rainfall (267mm in 28 days), and the ground/vegetation are saturated, meaning tree drip and seepage persist much longer than in summer.

Contributing Factors 7
Recent rain yesterday evening
90%

Nearly 10mm fell on April 12 with the last showers at 22:00–23:00, giving less than 12 hours of drying before today's climbing window.

South-facing aspect helps drying
75%

The south-facing orientation maximises solar exposure through the afternoon, which will accelerate surface drying on exposed faces.

Tree drip persistence
80%

Tree cover above the crag is known to cause prolonged dripping after rain, and with saturated ground from 267mm in 28 days, drip lines will still be active.

High ambient humidity
70%

Today's humidity at 77% in the sheltered Langdale valley limits evaporation rate and may allow residual dampness to persist on the rock surface.

Non-porous rock type
95%

BVS rhyolite does not absorb water, so only surface moisture needs to evaporate — no risk of structural damage or prolonged internal dampness.

Heavy rain forecast tomorrow
85%

13.6mm forecast for April 14 and 20.4mm for April 15 mean any brief drying window today will be negated, and conditions will worsen before improving.

Moderate wind exposure
60%

Partial wind exposure with 14.8 km/h southerly today provides some airflow to assist drying, though the valley setting limits full wind effect.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for a sustained dry spell — today's brief window after yesterday's rain is insufficient for confident drying, especially with tree drip concerns.
  • If you do visit, physically touch the rock surface in shaded areas and beneath trees before committing; retreat if any dampness is felt.
  • Consider alternative plans for the coming week — the forecast shows persistent rain through April 15–16, with the earliest realistic window being April 17 afternoon at the soonest.

Previous Analyses

Do Not Climb 90%
2 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Scout Crag is currently wet — 7.9mm of rain is falling today following 18.6mm yesterday, and the past two weeks have seen very heavy cumulative rainfall (nearly 300mm in 28 days). The rock will be wet and slippery, and tree drip from above will prolong surface moisture even after rain stops.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag causes persistent drips well after rain ceases, meaning today's and yesterday's rain will keep the rock damp longer than the open aspect might suggest.
  • The south-facing aspect and low altitude (150m) are favourable for drying, but with zero consecutive dry days and rain still falling today, these advantages have not yet come into play.
  • Being a valley-bottom roadside crag, Scout Crag can accumulate runoff and drainage from the hillside above during prolonged wet spells like the current one.
  • Spring bird nesting restrictions may apply at nearby crags — check BMC RAD before visiting any alternative venues in Langdale.
Warnings 2
  • The rock is actively wet today — climbing on wet BVS rhyolite is a serious slip hazard due to dramatic friction loss.
  • Tree canopy above the crag will continue dripping for many hours after rain stops; do not assume dry weather means dry rock.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is currently wet from today's 7.9mm of rain on top of 18.6mm yesterday, with zero consecutive dry days and saturated ground conditions from 292mm in the last 28 days.

Drying Analysis

No meaningful drying has occurred — rain is still falling today, and the south-facing aspect and moderate wind have had no opportunity to dry the crag since the last significant rainfall.

Structural Risk

As non-porous BVS rhyolite, there is no structural damage risk from climbing on wet rock, but the friction loss on wet volcanic rock makes climbing genuinely dangerous.

Seasonal Factors

Early spring in the Lake District with typically unsettled weather; temperatures around 8–10°C and high humidity (80%) slow evaporation, and the forecast shows more rain arriving mid-week.

Contributing Factors 7
Active rain today
95%

7.9mm of precipitation today means the rock is actively wet and will remain so throughout the day.

Heavy recent rainfall
90%

18.6mm yesterday and 292mm over the past 28 days have left the ground and surrounding vegetation thoroughly saturated.

Zero consecutive dry days
95%

There has been no dry spell to allow the crag surface and tree canopy above to shed moisture.

Tree drip persistence
85%

Tree cover above the crag causes continued dripping onto the rock face well after rain stops, extending drying time significantly.

South aspect and low altitude
85%

The favourable south-facing aspect at 150m would aid rapid drying, but this advantage is irrelevant while rain is still falling.

Moderate wind exposure
80%

Partial wind exposure from the SW at 31 km/h would help dry the surface once rain ceases, but cannot overcome active precipitation.

High humidity
80%

Humidity at 80% today slows evaporation and keeps the rock surface damp even where not directly wetted.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — the crag is actively wet and BVS rock becomes very slippery when damp, creating a real safety hazard.
  • Tomorrow (April 13) is forecast dry with lighter winds — if it stays dry, an afternoon visit to assess surface conditions in person could be worthwhile.
  • Consider the dry spell of April 6–8 as a reminder that Scout Crag can come into condition quickly after 24–48 hours without rain, but verify on arrival before committing to routes.
Do Not Climb 90%
3 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Scout Crag is receiving 14.5mm of rain today with no preceding dry spell, following a very wet period — the rock will be wet and slippery. The forecast offers no meaningful drying window over the coming days, with further rain expected on each of the next four days.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag will cause persistent drips well after surface rain stops, prolonging damp conditions on routes beneath the canopy.
  • Despite its south-facing aspect and low altitude, the recent accumulation of 282mm over 28 days means the surrounding ground and vegetation are saturated, contributing to ambient moisture and potential seepage.
  • As a valley-bottom roadside crag, Scout Crag can sit in still, humid air when winds are light, slowing evaporation even on otherwise dry days.
  • BVS rhyolite here offers superb friction when dry but becomes treacherously slippery when damp — even a thin film of moisture significantly reduces grip on the textured surface.
Warnings 2
  • Active rainfall on non-porous rhyolite creates extremely slippery conditions — falls are significantly more likely.
  • Tree canopy drips can persist for many hours after rain stops, catching climbers off guard on routes that appear dry from below.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 14.5mm falling today on top of 27mm in the past week and 282mm over 28 days, the rock surface is currently wet and the surrounding environment thoroughly saturated.

Drying Analysis

Despite strong southerly winds (35 km/h) and a south-facing aspect, active rain today means zero drying has occurred; the crag needs at least one full dry day with wind and sun to clear surface moisture and canopy drips.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural damage from moisture — there is no hold-breakage or rock-conservation concern here.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District is a transitionally wet period with limited solar intensity; the recent pattern of frequent Atlantic fronts is typical for spring and shows no sign of a sustained dry spell.

Contributing Factors 7
Active rain today
95%

14.5mm of precipitation is falling today, meaning the rock surface is actively wet right now.

No consecutive dry days
95%

There are zero consecutive dry days heading into today, so no drying opportunity has occurred since the last wet spell.

Saturated surroundings (282mm/28d)
90%

Extremely high 28-day rainfall total means the ground, vegetation, and tree canopy above the crag are fully saturated, prolonging seepage and drips.

Strong southerly wind
70%

35 km/h southerly wind will aid drying once precipitation stops, but cannot dry the rock while rain continues.

South-facing low altitude
75%

The south-facing aspect at 150m gives good solar exposure and warmer temperatures, which will help once a dry window arrives.

Tree canopy drip effect
85%

Tree cover above the crag causes persistent dripping after rain, delaying effective drying of the rock face by hours.

Unstable forecast ahead
85%

Rain is forecast on each of the next four days (totalling ~40mm), offering no sustained drying window.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — the crag is actively wet and slippery.
  • Monitor conditions closely; the earliest potential window may not arrive until April 17 if the forecast dry day materialises, but even then verify on arrival.
  • If visiting Langdale this week, consider indoor alternatives or treat it as a rest/reconnaissance day.
Do Not Climb 40%
4 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
40%
confidence

Despite two dry days on April 6–8 providing some drying, heavy rain on April 9 (7.6mm) followed by light rain today (0.5mm) means the rock surface is likely still damp. With zero consecutive dry days, tree drip from above, and high recent cumulative rainfall (280mm in 28 days), conditions are too uncertain to recommend climbing today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag causes persistent drips after rain — even after surface rock dries, canopy drip can keep sections damp for hours longer than expected.
  • The south-facing aspect and low valley position give Scout Crag above-average drying potential, but this advantage is negated by the very recent rainfall on April 9 and today.
  • The 28-day cumulative rainfall of nearly 280mm means the surrounding hillside and drainage above the crag are saturated, increasing the likelihood of seepage and runoff reaching the rock face.
  • Scout Crag's roadside accessibility makes it easy to drive by and visually check conditions before committing — worth a look if passing through Langdale.
Warnings 2
  • BVS rock becomes very slippery when damp — do not be tempted by the rough texture; even a thin film of moisture dramatically reduces friction.
  • Tree canopy above the crag may still be dripping well after rain has stopped — check upper sections and holds carefully.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Rain yesterday (7.6mm) and light precipitation today (0.5mm) mean the rock surface is very likely still damp, with tree drip above compounding the issue.

Drying Analysis

The south-facing aspect and moderate SW wind (22 km/h) today would normally dry non-porous BVS rock within hours, but with rain falling today and high humidity yesterday, meaningful drying has not yet begun.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural damage from moisture — the risk here is purely friction loss on damp surfaces.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lakes is a transitional period with unpredictable weather; temperatures averaging 8°C and high cumulative rainfall mean drying conditions are below summer standards.

Contributing Factors 7
Rain yesterday and today
95%

7.6mm fell on April 9 and 0.5mm today, giving zero consecutive dry days and leaving surfaces damp.

Tree drip persistence
80%

Tree cover above the crag causes prolonged dripping onto the rock face after rainfall, extending drying time significantly.

High cumulative rainfall
85%

Nearly 280mm over 28 days has saturated the hillside above, increasing seepage and drainage onto the crag.

South-facing low-altitude aspect
80%

The south-facing orientation at 150m receives good solar radiation and warmth, promoting faster surface drying than north-facing or high-altitude alternatives.

Moderate wind today
70%

SW wind at 22 km/h with partial exposure aids evaporation, though effectiveness is limited given ongoing dampness.

Dropping humidity today
65%

Humidity at 68% today is the lowest in several days, which supports surface drying if rain has stopped.

Non-porous BVS rock
95%

Rhyolite does not absorb water, so once surface moisture evaporates the rock returns to full friction — no extended internal drying needed.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least one full dry day with wind and sun before climbing — the rock needs time to dry fully, especially under the tree drip zones.
  • If passing through Langdale, it's worth a quick visual and touch check of the lower sections of the crag, but be prepared to walk away if any dampness is felt.
  • Consider checking BMC RAD for any bird nesting restrictions at Scout Crag, as peregrine and raven nesting season is underway through June.
Do Not Climb 45%
5 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
45%
confidence

Today has seen 2.9mm of rain on a crag that had only just dried out after heavy rain earlier in the week; with 84% humidity and westerly winds, the rock surface is likely damp and friction will be compromised. The south-facing aspect and moderate wind offer some drying potential, but insufficient dry hours have elapsed today to trust surface conditions.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above Scout Crag can channel persistent drips onto the upper sections of routes long after rain has stopped, meaning even light showers today will leave localised wet patches.
  • The crag's roadside position in the valley bottom means morning dew and valley-floor humidity can linger, especially with today's 84% humidity and light overnight winds.
  • South-facing aspect at low altitude means afternoon sun could dry exposed faces relatively quickly, but today's rain and cloud cover will limit solar drying.
  • The very wet March (316mm in 28 days) means the ground and vegetation above are saturated, increasing the risk of seepage and drips even from trace rainfall.
Warnings 2
  • Today's rain means the rock is likely wet and slippery — BVS rhyolite loses friction dramatically when damp, creating a serious fall risk.
  • The exceptionally wet preceding month means seepage from saturated ground above may persist even after surface drying — watch for wet streaks on routes.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Today's 2.9mm of rain on top of already high ambient humidity (84%) means the rock surface is almost certainly damp right now, with tree drip adding to the problem.

Drying Analysis

The crag had three good drying days (Apr 6–8) with warm temperatures up to 17.5°C and low humidity, but today's rain has reset the surface moisture; the westerly wind at 26 km/h and south aspect could dry exposed sections by late afternoon if rain stops, but this is uncertain.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural damage from moisture — the risk is purely friction loss on the characteristically rough but slippery-when-wet volcanic surface.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lakes is transitional — days are lengthening with reasonable solar angle for the south aspect, but the extremely wet preceding month has saturated the surrounding ground and vegetation, prolonging seepage.

Contributing Factors 7
Rain today resets drying
85%

2.9mm of precipitation today has re-wetted the rock surface after only three dry days following significant earlier rainfall.

High ambient humidity
80%

Humidity at 84% today inhibits evaporation and may cause condensation on the cool rock surface.

Saturated surroundings from wet March
80%

316mm of rain in the last 28 days has thoroughly saturated the ground and vegetation above the crag, increasing seepage and drip risk.

South-facing low altitude aspect
70%

The south-facing aspect at only 150m receives good solar radiation when the sun breaks through, aiding rapid surface drying.

Moderate wind exposure
65%

Westerly wind at 26 km/h provides reasonable air movement to help evaporate surface moisture.

Tree drip above crag
75%

Tree cover above Scout Crag causes persistent drips after any rainfall, keeping upper sections damp well after rain stops.

Non-porous rock type
90%

BVS rhyolite does not absorb water so only surface moisture needs to evaporate, meaning drying is faster than on sandstone or gritstone.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least a full dry day before visiting — tomorrow (Apr 10) looks much more promising if the forecast 0.2mm stays negligible and humidity drops to 68%.
  • If you do visit today, check the rock by hand for dampness before committing, especially on upper sections below the tree line where drips persist.
  • Consider the extremely wet recent period and check the BMC RAD for any seasonal bird nesting restrictions at Scout Crag before planning a visit.
Marginal — Assess Conditions 62%
8 days ago
Today
Marginal — Assess Conditions
62%
confidence

Scout Crag has had roughly 24 hours of drying since the last light showers yesterday evening, with today dry, south-facing sun, and moderate wind — the main rock surfaces are likely approaching dry, but tree drip and sheltered seepage zones may still be damp after an extremely wet recent period (355mm in 28 days). A visual check on arrival is strongly recommended before committing to routes.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag can funnel persistent drips onto routes for hours after rain has stopped, particularly on the left side of the buttress.
  • The south-facing aspect and low valley position mean the main face gets good solar exposure from mid-morning, which significantly helps drying today.
  • The crag sits just above the valley road near the Old Dungeon Ghyll — approach is trivial, making it easy to check conditions and retreat if still damp.
  • After 355mm of rain in the last 28 days, the ground and vegetation above are saturated, increasing the risk of seepage and drips from moss/tree cover even on an otherwise dry day.
Warnings 2
  • The extremely wet preceding weeks mean hidden seepage and tree drip may persist even when the main rock face appears dry — test friction carefully on every hold.
  • Bird nesting restrictions may apply at nearby crags in April — check BMC RAD for Scout Crag and surrounding venues before climbing.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Light scattered showers totalling ~4.2mm fell yesterday (April 5th), with the last traces around 21:00, giving roughly 15+ hours of drying overnight and into today — the exposed south-facing volcanic surfaces should be largely dry but sheltered recesses and areas beneath tree cover may retain dampness.

Drying Analysis

Today's southerly aspect, 12.6°C temperatures, moderate 18 km/h southerly wind, and 76% humidity provide reasonable but not exceptional drying conditions for early April; the main face should dry within hours of sunshine but the overnight period was cold (down to 1.3°C) and humid (88%), limiting overnight drying.

Structural Risk

No structural risk — BVS rhyolite is non-porous and does not weaken when wet; the concern is purely friction loss on damp surfaces.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lakes means short drying windows, low sun angle even on south-facing rock, and saturated ground from winter/spring rainfall — conditions are improving but remain marginal.

Contributing Factors 7
Recent light rain yesterday
85%

Scattered showers totalling ~4.2mm fell on April 5th with the last moisture around 21:00, leaving limited drying time before today.

Dry day today with sun
80%

Zero precipitation forecast today with 12.6°C, southerly wind, and 76% humidity should allow the south-facing rock to dry through the day.

Extremely wet recent period
90%

355mm over 28 days and 52mm in the last 7 days mean the ground, vegetation, and any seepage lines are thoroughly saturated.

South-facing low-altitude aspect
80%

The south-facing 150m crag receives direct sun from mid-morning and benefits from valley-level warmth, giving above-average drying speed for the Lakes.

Tree cover drip risk
75%

Trees above the crag can channel persistent drips onto routes long after rain has stopped, especially with saturated ground above.

Cold overnight temperatures
70%

Overnight minimum of 1.3°C with humidity rising to 88% means dew or light frost may have formed, adding surface moisture that needs to burn off.

Moderate wind exposure
75%

18.4 km/h southerly wind hitting the south-facing rock directly aids surface evaporation through the day.

Recommendations 3
  • Visit in the afternoon when the south-facing rock has had maximum solar and wind exposure — morning conditions are likely to be marginal.
  • Check for drips from tree cover above, particularly on routes at the left side of the buttress, and test friction carefully on the first moves before committing.
  • Have an alternative plan — the New Dungeon Ghyll pub is nearby if conditions prove too damp, and tomorrow's forecast (18°C, dry, low humidity) looks significantly better.
Do Not Climb 70%
9 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
70%
confidence

Scout Crag has received 5.7mm of rain today on top of a very wet recent period (59mm in 7 days, 360mm in 28 days), and there have been zero consecutive dry days. Although BVS rhyolite is non-porous and dries relatively quickly, the rock surface will still be damp today and tree drip from above will prolong wet conditions — we recommend waiting for the dry spell forecast from tomorrow.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag is known to cause persistent drips onto routes even after rain stops, extending effective drying time beyond what the south-facing aspect would normally allow.
  • The crag sits at valley floor level near the road, which means it can be sheltered from drying winds by the Langdale valley sides despite its south-facing orientation.
  • The extremely wet 28-day total (360mm) means surrounding ground is saturated, and seepage from the hillside above may feed moisture onto the crag even during short dry spells.
  • As a low-altitude roadside venue, Scout Crag is easy to check quickly on arrival — worth a drive-by assessment tomorrow after the forecast dry day.
Warnings 2
  • Do not climb today — the rock is wet and BVS rhyolite is dangerously slippery when damp, with very poor friction.
  • Be aware that the saturated hillside above may cause unexpected seepage onto routes even after a dry day; inspect carefully before committing.
Reasoning
Moisture State

With 5.7mm of rain today and no consecutive dry days, the rock surface is almost certainly wet right now, compounded by residual moisture from 23mm yesterday and 12.6mm the day before.

Drying Analysis

Strong westerly winds (42.5 km/h) today will help strip surface moisture, but with ongoing rain and tree drip from above, meaningful drying cannot begin until precipitation fully ceases — the forecast dry window starting tomorrow should allow the south-facing aspect and moderate winds to dry exposed surfaces within a day.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural weakening when wet; hold breakage is not a concern here.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District is transitional — days are lengthening and solar angles improving, but persistent Atlantic weather systems have kept conditions very wet; the recent 28-day rainfall of 360mm is exceptionally high even for Langdale.

Contributing Factors 8
Rain today ongoing
95%

5.7mm of precipitation today means the rock surface is currently wet and friction will be poor.

Very wet recent period
90%

360mm over 28 days and 59mm in the last 7 days have thoroughly saturated the surrounding ground and hillside above the crag.

Zero consecutive dry days
95%

There has been no meaningful dry spell to allow the crag and its surroundings to shed accumulated moisture.

Tree drip above crag
80%

Tree cover above Scout Crag causes persistent dripping onto routes after rain, prolonging drying time even once rain ceases.

Strong drying winds
75%

Today's 42.5 km/h westerly winds and forecast moderate southerlies tomorrow will help strip surface moisture once rain stops.

South-facing aspect
80%

The south-facing orientation maximises solar drying potential, especially as spring daylight hours increase.

Non-porous volcanic rock
95%

BVS rhyolite does not absorb water, so once surface moisture evaporates the rock will be climbable — no extended internal drying needed.

Dry forecast tomorrow
75%

Two consecutive dry days forecast (6th–7th April) with low humidity (~71%) and warming temperatures should allow good drying.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait until tomorrow (April 6th) at the earliest — the forecast dry day with southerly aspect and moderate winds should allow the non-porous rock to dry, but check on arrival for residual tree drip.
  • April 7th looks like the best opportunity this week, with two full dry days behind it and warm temperatures (14.5°C) forecast — aim for this day if possible.
  • If visiting, bring a towel to dab holds and be prepared to walk away if tree drip is still active on your chosen routes.
Do Not Climb 90%
10 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Scout Crag is currently wet and unsuitable for climbing. Today has seen 9.6mm of rain on top of a very wet recent period (85mm in the last 7 days, 351mm in the last 28 days), and the rock will be saturated with surface moisture and active seepage from the tree canopy above.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag traps moisture and causes persistent drips well after rain has stopped — given today's rain and the saturated ground, canopy dripping will likely continue into tomorrow.
  • The south-facing aspect is helpful for drying but March/early April sun angle and relatively short days limit solar drying power compared to summer months.
  • As a low valley crag next to the road, Scout Crag can accumulate runoff from the hillside above during prolonged wet spells like the current one.
  • The sheltered valley position reduces wind exposure despite the strong SW winds today, meaning the crag face itself may not benefit fully from the 45 km/h gusts.
Warnings 2
  • The rock will be extremely slippery today — do not attempt to climb.
  • Prolonged saturation of the hillside above means seepage and runoff onto the crag may persist for 1–2 days after rain stops.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is currently wet from today's 9.6mm of rain, following 23mm yesterday and sustained heavy rainfall over the past month — surface moisture and active seepage are virtually certain.

Drying Analysis

Despite strong SW winds (45 km/h) and the south-facing aspect, zero consecutive dry days and ongoing rain today mean no meaningful drying has occurred; the crag needs at least 24–48 hours of dry weather to shed surface moisture and canopy drips.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and suffers no structural damage when wet — the risk here is purely friction loss and climber safety on slippery surfaces.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District brings limited solar intensity, cool temperatures averaging 7.6°C, and high ambient humidity (83% average over the past week), all of which slow surface drying.

Contributing Factors 8
Active rain today
95%

9.6mm of precipitation today means the rock face is currently wet with no opportunity to dry.

Extreme recent rainfall
95%

85mm in the last 7 days and 351mm over 28 days has thoroughly saturated the ground and hillside above the crag, feeding seepage and runoff.

Zero consecutive dry days
95%

There has been no dry spell to allow surface moisture to evaporate — the crag has had no drying window.

High ambient humidity
85%

Average humidity of 83% over the past week significantly slows evaporation even when rain stops.

Strong winds today
75%

45 km/h SW winds could aid drying in principle, but the sheltered valley position and ongoing rain negate this benefit today.

South-facing aspect
80%

The south-facing orientation maximises solar exposure and will aid rapid drying once a dry spell establishes.

Low altitude advantage
80%

At 150m, Scout Crag benefits from warmer valley temperatures and avoids cloud-base issues affecting higher crags.

Tree canopy drip risk
85%

Trees above the crag trap and release moisture for hours after rain ceases, prolonging wet conditions on the rock face.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait for at least 24 hours of dry weather before visiting — realistically, April 7th is the earliest viable window.
  • Check for canopy drips on arrival even after a dry spell; the upper sections beneath tree cover will be the last areas to dry.
  • If visiting mid-week, aim for the afternoon when the south-facing rock has had maximum solar exposure during these shorter spring days.
Do Not Climb 90%
11 days ago
Today
Do Not Climb
90%
confidence

Scout Crag is currently wet following 19.1mm of rain today, on top of a very wet recent period (75mm in the last 7 days, 344mm in the last 28 days). The rock surface will be slippery and tree drips above the crag will persist — conditions are not suitable for climbing today.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag causes persistent drips long after rain stops, which will be especially problematic given today's heavy rain on top of a saturated catchment.
  • The south-facing aspect is helpful for drying but provides limited benefit in early April with the sun still relatively low and today's overcast, wet conditions.
  • As a low valley crag near the road, Scout Crag can be quickly checked in person — but the sheer volume of recent rain means even this fast-drying venue needs proper time.
  • The Langdale valley floor can remain damp and humid even when higher crags are wind-dried, as cold air pools in the valley overnight keeping humidity elevated.
Warnings 2
  • The rock will be extremely slippery today — BVS rhyolite loses its renowned friction completely when wet, creating a serious fall risk.
  • Tree drips above the crag will continue for many hours after rain stops; do not assume dry weather means dry rock at this venue.
Reasoning
Moisture State

The rock is currently wet from 19.1mm of rain today, with zero consecutive dry days and extremely high recent rainfall totals (75mm in 7 days, 344mm in 28 days) ensuring the surrounding ground and tree canopy are thoroughly saturated.

Drying Analysis

Despite partial wind exposure and a south-facing aspect, drying has barely begun — today's rain is still falling or only just stopped, and with 87% humidity and moderate westerly winds the surface will remain wet well into this evening.

Structural Risk

BVS rhyolite is non-porous and not at risk of structural damage from moisture, so the rock itself is not harmed, but friction is severely compromised when wet.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District means limited solar intensity, short effective drying windows, and persistent background dampness from a very wet spring so far.

Contributing Factors 8
Heavy rain today
95%

19.1mm of precipitation today means the crag is actively wet with no drying time whatsoever.

Saturated recent period
90%

344mm over 28 days and 75mm in the last week have left the ground, vegetation, and tree canopy above thoroughly waterlogged, prolonging seepage and drips.

Zero consecutive dry days
95%

There has been no dry spell to allow surface or drainage drying — every recent dry window has been interrupted by further rain.

Tree drip persistence
85%

The tree cover above Scout Crag acts as a reservoir, releasing drips for hours after rain ceases, especially when the canopy is saturated.

High ambient humidity
85%

Average humidity of 81% over the past week and 87% today significantly slows evaporation from rock surfaces.

South-facing aspect
80%

The south-facing orientation will aid drying once the rain stops and skies clear, but this benefit is not yet realised today.

Low altitude accessibility
80%

At 150m the crag avoids altitude-related cold and cloud but also misses stronger hilltop winds that can speed drying.

Moderate wind forecast
75%

Strong winds forecast for April 4–5 (40+ km/h) will help strip surface moisture once rain eases, improving conditions from April 6 onward.

Recommendations 3
  • Do not climb today — the crag is wet and slippery; wait for a proper drying window.
  • The best opportunity this week looks to be April 6–7 when a dry spell with moderate winds and improving temperatures should allow the south-facing rock to dry; check conditions on arrival.
  • Check BMC RAD for any bird nesting restrictions before visiting — peregrine and raven nesting season is underway across Langdale.
Marginal — Assess Conditions 55%
12 days ago
Today
Marginal — Assess Conditions
55%
confidence

Scout Crag received 8.1mm of rain yesterday (mostly between 16:00–19:00) and has had only ~12 hours of drying overnight in cool, moderately humid conditions. The south-facing aspect and today's lower humidity (72%) with moderate SW winds should aid surface drying through the afternoon, but the rock may still have damp patches — especially where tree drip persists — so on-site assessment is essential.

Based on weather conditions only — does not cover bird nesting restrictions or other access issues.

Crag Considerations
  • Tree cover above the crag can channel persistent drips onto routes for many hours after rain, creating localised wet patches even when the main rock face appears dry.
  • The south-facing aspect at low altitude in the Langdale valley means Scout Crag benefits from direct afternoon sun in early April, which will actively warm the rock surface through the day.
  • The extremely wet recent period (325mm in 28 days) means the ground and surrounding vegetation are saturated, increasing the likelihood of seepage and residual dampness at the crag base and in cracks.
  • Being a roadside valley crag, Scout Crag is partially sheltered from the strongest winds, which slightly reduces drying efficiency compared to more exposed crags.
Warnings 2
  • The rock will be slippery if any surface moisture remains — test friction carefully on lower holds before committing to routes.
  • Heavy rain is forecast for April 3rd and 4th (32mm+ combined); conditions will deteriorate significantly from tomorrow.
Reasoning
Moisture State

Yesterday's 8.1mm rain fell mainly in the late afternoon/evening, and the rock has had approximately 12 hours of cool overnight drying with moderate humidity (79–84%) — surface moisture is likely still present in sheltered spots and beneath tree drip zones.

Drying Analysis

Today's conditions — 72% humidity, 14.4 km/h SW wind, south-facing aspect receiving spring sunshine — should promote reasonable surface drying through the afternoon, but overnight conditions were too cool and calm for effective evaporation.

Structural Risk

Rhyolite/BVS rock is non-porous and suffers no structural weakening when wet; the risk is purely friction loss on damp surfaces.

Seasonal Factors

Early April in the Lake District is transitional — days are lengthening and solar angle is improving, but temperatures remain cool and the prolonged wet winter/spring means persistent background saturation.

Contributing Factors 6
Recent rain yesterday evening
90%

8.1mm fell between 16:00–19:00 yesterday, leaving the rock wet heading into the overnight period with limited drying time since.

Today's drying conditions
70%

Humidity has dropped to 72% with 14.4 km/h SW wind and south-facing sun exposure, which should promote good surface drying through the afternoon.

Prolonged wet period
85%

325mm over 28 days and 73mm in the last 7 days mean the surrounding ground, vegetation, and any seepage lines are thoroughly saturated.

Tree drip persistence
80%

Tree cover above the crag is known to cause persistent drips after rain, which may keep specific sections damp well after the main face has dried.

South-facing low altitude
75%

At 150m with a south aspect, Scout Crag receives the best available spring sunshine and is not penalised by altitude-related cold or cloud.

Cool overnight temperatures
70%

Overnight lows around 3–6°C limited evaporation during the night, meaning most drying must occur during today's daytime hours.

Recommendations 3
  • Wait until mid-to-late afternoon to allow maximum drying from today's sun and wind — conditions should improve significantly as the day progresses.
  • Carefully check for damp patches beneath the tree canopy above the crag, as drips can persist long after the main face appears dry.
  • Bring alternative plans as rain returns tomorrow (13.4mm forecast); today may be the best window for several days.

Climbing Outlook

Today 14 Apr
Do Not Climb 45%
Tue 14 Apr
Do Not Climb 85%
Wed 15 Apr
Do Not Climb 90%
Thu 16 Apr
Do Not Climb 70%
Fri 17 Apr
Marginal 50%
Sat 18 Apr
Do Not Climb 55%

Analysis Calendar

April 2026